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Here's Why Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Here's Why Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

這就是為什麼吉林電力股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:000875)被債務拖累
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/03 00:11

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jilin Electric Power Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000875) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衞·伊本説得很好,波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。重要的是吉林電力有限責任公司(SZSE:000875)確實有債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處是,它往往代表着廉價資本,特別是當它用能夠以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Jilin Electric PowerLtd

查看我們對吉林電力有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Jilin Electric PowerLtd Carry?

吉林電力股份有限公司揹負着多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Jilin Electric PowerLtd had CN¥45.3b of debt, up from CN¥33.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

如下所示,截至2022年3月底,吉林電力有限公司的債務為453億元人民幣,高於一年前的331億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細信息。淨債務大致相同,因為它沒有太多現金。

SZSE:000875 Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2022
深交所:000875債轉股歷史2022年6月3日

A Look At Jilin Electric PowerLtd's Liabilities

看吉林電力有限公司的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jilin Electric PowerLtd had liabilities of CN¥21.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥34.9b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥839.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥9.93b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥45.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,吉林電力有限公司有211億加元的負債在12個月內到期,349億加元的負債在12個月後到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有8.399億加元的現金和99.3億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,該公司的負債總額為人民幣452億元,比現金和近期應收賬款的總和還要多。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥20.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Jilin Electric PowerLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

這裏的不足給CN公司本身帶來了沉重的負擔,就像一個孩子在一個裝滿書籍、運動裝備和小號的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們會密切關注它的資產負債表。歸根結底,如果債權人要求償還,吉林電力有限公司可能需要進行重大資本重組。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Jilin Electric PowerLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.5 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, one redeeming factor is that Jilin Electric PowerLtd grew its EBIT at 11% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jilin Electric PowerLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

吉林電力股份有限公司股東面臨着高淨債務與EBITDA比率(8.0)和相當弱的利息覆蓋的雙重打擊,因為EBIT僅為利息支出的1.5倍。這意味着我們會認為它有沉重的債務負擔。然而,一個可取的因素是,吉林電力股份有限公司在過去12個月中息税前利潤增長了11%,增強了其處理債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但吉林電力有限公司未來能否保持健康的資產負債表,最重要的將是未來的收益。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jilin Electric PowerLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化為自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,吉林電力有限公司的自由現金流總計為大幅負值。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務的風險大得多。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Jilin Electric PowerLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Jilin Electric PowerLtd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Jilin Electric PowerLtd (including 1 which is significant) .

坦率地説,吉林電力股份有限公司將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流,以及其保持在總負債之上的記錄,都讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但至少它在息税前利潤增長方面相當不錯;這是令人鼓舞的。在考慮了討論的數據點後,我們認為吉林電力有限公司負債太多。這種風險對一些人來説是可以接受的,但肯定不會讓我們的船漂浮起來。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。為此,您應該瞭解3個警示標誌我們已經發現了吉林電力有限公司(包括1家意義重大的公司)。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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