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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

股市下跌基本面穩固:市場對中國鐵建重工股份有限公司(上交所:688425)的看法是錯的嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/30 22:00

With its stock down 19% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard China Railway Construction Heavy Industry (SHSE:688425). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE.

在過去的三個月裏,中國鐵建重工的股價下跌了19%,人們很容易忽視中國鐵建重工(上交所:688425)。但如果你仔細觀察,你可能會猜到,它強勁的財務狀況可能意味着,考慮到市場通常會獎勵財務狀況良好的公司,該股可能會在長期內增值。在本文中,我們決定關注中國鐵建重工的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話説,這是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry

查看我們對中國鐵建重工的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國鐵建重工的淨資產收益率為:

12% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

12%=CN元18億×CN元150億(以截至2022年3月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.12 in profit.

“回報”就是年度利潤。這意味着,每增加價值1元的股東權益,公司就會產生0.12元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。一般來説,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存較高的公司比不具備這些特徵的公司有更高的增長率。

China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

中國鐵建重工盈利增長與淨資產收益率12%

At first glance, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.2%. Probably as a result of this, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry was able to see a decent growth of 7.7% over the last five years.

乍看之下,中國鐵建重工似乎擁有不錯的淨資產收益率。此外,該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與行業平均水平8.2%相比相當有利。可能正是由於這個原因,中國鐵建重工在過去五年中能夠實現7.7%的可觀增長。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,對比行業淨收入增長,我們發現中國鐵建重工的報告增長低於同期14%的行業增長,這是我們不願意看到的。

SHSE:688425 Past Earnings Growth May 31st 2022
上海證交所:過去688425的收益增長2022年5月31日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這有助於他們確定這隻股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看中國鐵建重工相對於其行業的市盈率是高還是低。

Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中國鐵建重工是否有效地對利潤進行了再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 27% (implying that the company retains 73% of its profits), it seems that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

中國鐵建重工的三年中值股息率為27%(這意味着該公司保留了73%的利潤),看起來它正在以一種高效的方式進行再投資,它看到了收益可觀的增長,並支付了豐厚的股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry.

整體而言,我們覺得中國鐵建重工的表現相當不錯。特別是,看到該公司在業務上投入了大量資金,並獲得了高回報率,從而實現了可觀的收益增長,這一點令人欣慰。如果該公司繼續以目前的方式增長收益,考慮到每股收益對長期股價的影響,這可能會對其股價產生積極影響。記住,股票的價格也取決於感知到的風險。因此,投資者在投資任何公司之前,必須隨時瞭解所涉及的風險。我們的風險儀錶板將包含我們為中國鐵建重工確定的3個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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