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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Pacific Online Limited (HKG:543) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Pacific Online Limited (HKG:543) For Its Upcoming Dividend

為什麼購買太平洋在線有限公司(HKG:543)即將到來的股息可能沒有意義
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/28 20:40

It looks like Pacific Online Limited (HKG:543) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Pacific Online's shares before the 2nd of June to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 22nd of June.

看起來像是太平洋在線有限公司(HKG:543)即將在未來三天內除息。除息日期是公司記錄日期的前一個工作日,也就是公司決定哪些股東有權獲得股息的日期。除息日期是重要的,因為每當買賣一隻股票時,交易至少需要兩個工作日才能結算。這意味着,你需要在6月2日之前購買太平洋在線的股票才能獲得股息,股息將在6月22日支付。

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.10 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.10 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Pacific Online has a trailing yield of approximately 9.4% on its current stock price of HK$1.24. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

公司下一次派息將為每股0.10元,最近12個月,公司共支付每股0.10元。從過去12個月的發行情況來看,太平洋在線目前的股價為1.24港元,往績收益率約為9.4%。股息是長期持有者投資回報的主要貢獻者,但前提是繼續支付股息。這就是為什麼我們應該總是檢查股息支付是否看起來可持續,以及公司是否在增長。

View our latest analysis for Pacific Online

查看我們對太平洋在線的最新分析

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Pacific Online paid out a disturbingly high 227% of its profit as dividends last year, which makes us concerned there's something we don't fully understand in the business. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Pacific Online paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 119%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

股息通常從公司收入中支付,因此,如果一家公司支付的股息超過了它的收入,它的股息通常被削減的風險更高。太平洋在線去年支付了高得令人不安的高達227%的利潤作為股息,這讓我們擔心這項業務中有一些我們不完全理解的東西。然而,對於評估股息而言,現金流甚至比利潤更重要,因此我們需要看看公司是否產生了足夠的現金來支付分配。太平洋在線去年支付的自由現金流超過了它產生的自由現金流--準確地説,是119%,我們認為這個數字高得令人擔憂。我們很好奇為什麼該公司支付的現金比去年產生的更多,因為這可能是股息可能不可持續的早期跡象之一。

Pacific Online does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

太平洋在線的資產負債表上確實有大量淨現金頭寸,這可能會在一段時間內為大筆股息提供資金,如果該公司選擇這樣做的話。儘管如此,聰明的投資者知道,相對於企業產生的現金和利潤來評估股息更好。用資產負債表上的現金支付股息在長期內是不可持續的。

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Pacific Online's payouts were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

從股息的角度來看,現金略高於利潤,但鑑於太平洋在線的支出無論是收益還是現金流都沒有很好地覆蓋,我們會擔心這種股息的可持續性。

Click here to see how much of its profit Pacific Online paid out over the last 12 months.

單擊此處查看太平洋在線在過去12個月中支付了多少利潤。

SEHK:543 Historic Dividend May 29th 2022
聯交所:543歷史紅利2022年5月29日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

盈利和股息一直在增長嗎?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Pacific Online's earnings per share have dropped 20% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

當收益下降時,股利公司就更難分析和安全持有了。如果業務進入低迷,股息被削減,該公司的價值可能會急劇縮水。讀者就會明白,為什麼我們擔心太平洋在線的每股收益在過去五年裏每年下降20%。如此大幅的下跌讓人對紅利未來的可持續性產生了懷疑。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Pacific Online's dividend payments per share have declined at 3.8% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

衡量一家公司股息前景的另一個關鍵方法是衡量其歷史股息增長率。太平洋在線的每股股息支出在過去10年裏平均每年下降3.8%,這一數字並不令人振奮。看到收益和股息下降從來都不是好事,但至少管理層削減了股息,而不是為了維持股息而潛在地冒着公司健康的風險。

The Bottom Line

底線

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Pacific Online? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Pacific Online is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. Unless there are grounds to believe a turnaround is imminent, this is one of the least attractive dividend stocks under this analysis. Bottom line: Pacific Online has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

從分紅的角度來看,投資者應該買入還是避免購買太平洋在線?不僅每股收益在下降,太平洋在線還向股東支付了令人不安的高比例收益和現金流。除非有理由相信扭虧為盈迫在眉睫,否則這是本分析中最不具吸引力的股息股之一。一句話:Pacific Online有一些令人遺憾的特點,我們認為這些特點可能會導致股息投資者的收益不太理想。

With that being said, if you're still considering Pacific Online as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Pacific Online (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

話雖如此,如果你仍在考慮將太平洋在線作為一項投資,你會發現瞭解這隻股票面臨的風險是有益的。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現太平洋在線的4個警告標誌(其中1個不應該被忽視!)你應該知道。

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

一般來説,我們不會建議只購買你看到的第一批股息股票。這是這是一份精心挑選的股息支付強勁的有趣股票的名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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