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Here's Why Changgao Electric Group (SZSE:002452) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Changgao Electric Group (SZSE:002452) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是為什麼長高電氣集團(深交所:002452)能夠負責任地管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/25 19:56

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002452) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李路曾説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。與許多其他公司一樣昌高電氣集團有限公司。(SZSE:002452)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

View our latest analysis for Changgao Electric Group

查看我們對長高電氣集團的最新分析

What Is Changgao Electric Group's Debt?

長高電氣集團的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Changgao Electric Group had debt of CN¥86.3m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from CN¥837.8m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥653.3m in cash, so it actually has CN¥567.0m net cash.

下圖顯示,截至2022年3月底,長高電氣集團的債務為8630萬加元,低於一年來的8.378億加元。你可以點擊下面的圖片查看更多細節。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有6.533億加元現金,因此它實際上擁有5.67億加元淨現金。

SZSE:002452 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2022
深圳證交所:002452債轉股歷史2022年5月25日

A Look At Changgao Electric Group's Liabilities

看長高電氣集團的負債情況

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Changgao Electric Group had liabilities of CN¥830.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥220.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥653.3m and CN¥1.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥820.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最近的資產負債表可以看出,長高電氣集團有8.305億元的負債在一年內到期,還有2.201億元的負債在一年內到期。另一方面,它有6.533億加元的現金和12.2億加元的應收賬款在一年內到期。所以它實際上有8.202億元人民幣更多流動資產超過總負債。

It's good to see that Changgao Electric Group has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Changgao Electric Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高興看到長高電氣集團的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這意味着對負債的保守管理。由於它擁有充足的資產,它不太可能與其貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,長高電氣集團現金多於債務的事實可以説是一個很好的跡象,表明該集團有能力安全地管理債務。

In fact Changgao Electric Group's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 36% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Changgao Electric Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

事實上,長高電氣集團的可取之處在於其較低的債務水平,因為它的息税前利潤在過去12個月裏暴跌了36%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終可能會使規模不大的債務面臨相當大的風險。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為長高電氣集團需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Changgao Electric Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Changgao Electric Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然長高電氣集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但它將息税前利潤(EBIT)轉換為自由現金流的能力仍值得一看,以幫助我們瞭解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額。在過去的三年裏,長高電氣集團的自由現金流總體上出現了大幅負增長。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況會在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。

Summing up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Changgao Electric Group has net cash of CN¥567.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Changgao Electric Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Changgao Electric Group that you should be aware of.

雖然我們同情那些對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但你應該記住,長高電氣集團擁有5.67億元人民幣的淨現金,流動資產多於負債。因此,我們對長高電氣集團的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確定長高電氣集團的3個警示標誌這一點你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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