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What Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688585) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688585) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

斯旺科先進材料有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688585)25%的股價漲幅沒有告訴你什麼
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/24 18:37

Those holding Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688585) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.

持有者斯旺科先進材料有限公司。(上海證券交易所:688585)股價在過去30天裏反彈了25%,股價會鬆一口氣,但它需要繼續努力修復最近對投資者投資組合造成的損害。但並不是所有的股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因為在過去的12個月裏,該公司股價仍下跌了非常令人失望的18%。

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Swancor Advanced Materials as a stock to avoid entirely with its 72.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

在股價如此大幅上漲之後,鑑於近一半的中國公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)低於31倍,你可能會考慮將斯旺科先進材料視為一隻股票,以避免其72.2倍的市盈率。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅上升是否有合理的基礎。

For instance, Swancor Advanced Materials' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,斯旺科先進材料公司近期不斷下滑的收益肯定值得深思。一種可能性是,市盈率很高,因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來仍將採取足夠的措施來跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。

Check out our latest analysis for Swancor Advanced Materials

查看我們對Swancor高級材料的最新分析

SHSE:688585 Price Based on Past Earnings May 24th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Swancor Advanced Materials, take a look at this
上海證券交易所:688585價格基於過去的收益2022年5月24日雖然沒有分析師對Swancor先進材料的估計,但看看這個
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

增長是否與高市盈率相匹配?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Swancor Advanced Materials would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

為了證明其市盈率是合理的,斯旺科先進材料需要實現遠遠超出市場的出色增長。

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 58%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 70% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

如果我們回顧過去一年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降了58%。然而,在此之前的幾年非常強勁,這意味着在過去的三年裏,它仍然能夠以令人印象深刻的70%的每股收益增長。儘管這是一段坎坷的旅程,但公平地説,最近的收益增長對公司來説已經綽綽有餘。

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

將最近的中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長37%的預期進行比較,結果顯示,按年率計算,它的吸引力明顯下降。

With this information, we find it concerning that Swancor Advanced Materials is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了這些信息,我們發現斯旺科先進材料的市盈率高於市場。似乎大多數投資者忽視了最近相當有限的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。如果市盈率下降到與最近的增長率更一致的水平,現有股東很可能會讓自己未來感到失望。

The Final Word

最後的結論

Swancor Advanced Materials' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

斯旺克先進材料公司的市盈率正在飆升,就像它的股票在過去一個月裏一樣。僅僅用市盈率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

Our examination of Swancor Advanced Materials revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們對斯旺科先進材料公司的調查顯示,該公司三年的盈利趨勢對其高市盈率的影響並不像我們預期的那麼大,因為它們看起來比目前的市場預期更糟糕。目前,我們對高市盈率越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支撐這種積極情緒。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Swancor Advanced Materials (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

在你決定你的觀點之前,我們發現斯旺科先進材料的2個警告標誌(%1與我們的關係不太好!)這一點你應該知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你對市盈率感興趣,你可能想看看這個免費其他盈利增長強勁、市盈率低於20倍的公司。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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