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Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet

Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet

泉州匯信小額信貸有限公司(HKG:1577)可能跑得太快了,最近價格暴跌33%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/23 18:56

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit Co., Ltd. (HKG:1577) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 52% loss during that time.

不幸的是,對於一些股東來説,泉州市匯信小額信貸有限公司。(HKG:1577)股價在過去30天裏暴跌33%,延續了最近的痛苦。最近的下跌為股東們災難性的12個月畫上了句號,在此期間,他們坐擁52%的損失。

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's P/E ratio of 7.4x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

儘管股價大幅下跌,但你對泉州匯信7.4倍的市盈率漠不關心也是情有可原的,因為香港的市盈率中值也接近9倍。然而,如果市盈率沒有理性基礎,投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's earnings have been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

我們不得不説,在過去一年沒有明顯增長的情況下,泉州匯信小額信貸的收益並不令人印象深刻。許多人可能預計,在未來一段時間裏,平淡無奇的盈利表現最多隻能與大多數其他公司匹敵,這阻止了市盈率的上升。如果你喜歡這家公司,你會希望情況並非如此,這樣你就可以在它不太受歡迎的時候買入一些股票。

See our latest analysis for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit

請看我們對泉州匯信小額信貸的最新分析

SEHK:1577 Price Based on Past Earnings May 23rd 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit, take a look at this
聯交所:1577基於過去收益的價格2022年5月23日雖然沒有分析師對泉州匯信小額信貸的估計,但看看這個。
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Is There Some Growth For Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit?

泉州匯信小額信貸有沒有增長?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's to be considered reasonable.

有一種固有的假設,即一家公司的市盈率應該與市場相符,比如泉州匯信的市盈率才被認為是合理的。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 52% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

回顧過去一年,該公司的利潤幾乎與前一年持平。這並不是股東們所期待的,因為這意味着他們的每股收益在過去三年裏總共下降了52%。因此,股東們會對中期盈利增長率感到悲觀。

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

將這一中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長17%的預期進行比較,可以看出這是一個令人不快的前景。

With this information, we find it concerning that Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

有了這些信息,我們發現泉州匯信小額信貸的市盈率與市場相當接近。似乎大多數投資者都忽視了最近糟糕的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。如果市盈率下降到與最近負增長更一致的水平,現有股東很可能會讓自己未來感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit's P/E

泉州匯信小額信貸市盈率底線

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit looks quite average now. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

在股價下跌的情況下,泉州匯信小額信貸目前的市盈率看起來相當平均。雖然市盈率不應該是你是否買入一隻股票的決定性因素,但它是一個很好的盈利預期晴雨表。

We've established that Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,泉州匯信小額信貸目前的市盈率高於預期,因為它最近的收益在中期內一直在下降。目前,我們對市盈率感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。除非最近的中期狀況有所改善,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

別忘了,可能還有其他風險。例如,我們已經確定泉州匯信小額信貸的6個警示標誌(1是關於的)你應該知道。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Quanzhou Huixin Micro-credit. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

當然了,你也許還能找到比泉州匯信小額信貸更好的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費市盈率低於20倍、盈利增長強勁的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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