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As China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group (HKG:658) rises 6.3% this past week, investors may now be noticing the company's five-year earnings growth

As China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group (HKG:658) rises 6.3% this past week, investors may now be noticing the company's five-year earnings growth

隨着中國高速傳輸設備集團(HKG:658)在過去一週上漲6.3%,投資者現在可能注意到該公司五年來的收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/20 19:26

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:658) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 48% over a half decade. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 27% in the last three months. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 15% in the same period.

理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。所以我們不會責怪長期中國高速傳輸設備集團有限公司。(HKG:658)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了48%。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裏下跌了27%。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期市場下跌了15%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥409m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,僅在過去的7天裏,該公司的市值就增加了4.09億元人民幣,所以讓我們看看我們是否能確定是什麼導致了股東五年來的虧損。

View our latest analysis for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group

查看我們對中國高速傳輸設備集團的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.5% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在股價下滑的不幸的五年裏,中國高速傳輸設備集團的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年3.5%的速度增長。因此,每股收益似乎並不能很好地指導人們理解市場對股票的估值。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.

根據這些數據,我們敢打賭,五年前,市場可能對增長預期過於樂觀。話雖如此,我們可能會通過查看其他指標來更好地瞭解股票的走勢。

Revenue is actually up 21% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

這一時期的營收實際上增長了21%。對營收和收益進行更詳細的審查,可能會解釋股價低迷的原因,也可能解釋不了;可能會有機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

SEHK:658 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 20th 2022
聯交所:658盈利及收入增長2022年5月20日

If you are thinking of buying or selling China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果你正在考慮買賣中國高速傳輸設備集團的股票,你應該看看這個免費關於其資產負債表的詳細報告。

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼總股東回報(TSR)呢?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 44%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

更不用説中國高速傳輸設備集團與中國高速傳輸設備集團股東總回報(TSR)及其股價回報。可以説,TSR是一種更完整的回報計算方法,因為它計入了股息的價值(就像它們被再投資一樣),以及向股東提供的任何貼現資本的假設價值。股息對中國高速傳輸設備集團的股東來説確實是有益的,這種現金支付解釋了為什麼過去5年來,該集團44%的股東總損失沒有股價回報那麼糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 17% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 23%. Given the total loss of 8% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

雖然虧損從來都不是好事,但中國高速傳輸設備集團的股東們可以感到欣慰的是,他們過去12個月的17%的虧損並沒有市場23%左右的虧損那麼糟糕。考慮到過去五年每年8%的總虧損,過去12個月的回報率似乎有所下降。雖然羅斯柴爾德男爵確實會告訴投資者“在街上有血的時候買入,即使血是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,才能確信業務本身是穩健的。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定中國高速傳輸設備集團的2個警示標誌(1不能忽視)這一點你應該知道。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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