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Shareholders 14% loss in Henderson Land Development (HKG:12) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years

Shareholders 14% loss in Henderson Land Development (HKG:12) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years

恆基地產(HKG:12)股東虧損14%部分歸因於公司過去三年盈利下降
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/20 19:15

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Henderson Land Development Company Limited (HKG:12) shareholders, since the share price is down 26% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 2.5%.

作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得的。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。不幸的是,從長遠來看,情況就是這樣恆基地產股份有限公司(HKG:12)股東,因為股價在過去三年下跌26%,遠低於市場約2.5%的跌幅。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週對股東來説更令人安心,但他們在過去三年仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否對股價下跌負有責任。

See our latest analysis for Henderson Land Development

參見我們對恆基地產的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的企業表現。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the three years that the share price fell, Henderson Land Development's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 25% each year. In comparison the 10% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.

在股價下跌的三年裏,恆基地產的每股收益(EPS)每年下降25%。相比之下,10%的複合年度股價跌幅沒有每股收益下跌那麼嚴重。因此,儘管之前令人失望,但從長遠來看,股東們必須對情況會有所改善有一定的信心。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。

SEHK:12 Earnings Per Share Growth May 20th 2022
聯交所:2022年5月20日每股收益增長12

We know that Henderson Land Development has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我們知道恆基地產最近提高了利潤,但它會增長收入嗎?你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師收入預測的報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Henderson Land Development's TSR for the last 3 years was -14%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,恆基地產最近3年的TSR為-14%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Henderson Land Development shares lost 3.2% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 23%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.8%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Henderson Land Development better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Henderson Land Development has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

雖然看到恆基地產的股價全年下跌3.2%肯定令人失望,但這並沒有股市下跌23%那麼糟糕。較長期的投資者不會如此沮喪,因為他們在五年內每年會獲得1.8%的收益。在最好的情況下,去年只是通向更光明未來的旅途中的一個暫時的轉折點。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解恆基地產,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。以冒險為例-恆基地產有2個警告標誌(還有一點令人擔憂)我們認為你應該知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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