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Here's Why Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002453) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002453) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是為什麼偉大的中軟科技有限公司(深交所:002453)能夠負責任地管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/19 20:21

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Great Chinasoft Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002453) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

馬克斯説得很好,他不是擔心股價波動,而是我擔心的是永久虧損的可能性……我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。與許多其他公司一樣大華軟科技有限公司。(SZSE:002453)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

為什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd

查看我們對大華軟科技有限公司的最新分析

What Is Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

中軟科技有限公司的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd had CN¥490.6m of debt in March 2022, down from CN¥692.7m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥449.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥41.4m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2022年3月,大中軟科技有限公司的債務為4.906億元人民幣,低於一年前的6.927億元人民幣。然而,由於它擁有4.492億加元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約為4140萬加元。

SZSE:002453 Debt to Equity History May 20th 2022
深圳證交所:002453債轉股歷史2022年5月20日

How Strong Is Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

大華軟科技有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥38.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥449.2m and CN¥881.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到大中軟科技有限公司有13.1億加元的負債在12個月內到期,還有3840萬加元的負債在12個月內到期。另一方面,它有4.492億加元的現金和8.813億加元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,這些流動資產大致相當於總負債。

Having regard to Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥12.1b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到大中軟科技有限公司的規模,它的流動資產和總負債似乎很好地平衡了。因此,儘管很難想象這家121億元人民幣的公司正在為現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認為值得監控其資產負債表。但無論是哪種方式,大中軟科技有限公司幾乎沒有淨債務,所以公平地説,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務相對於收益的水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),第二個是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息覆蓋)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.29 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.3 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. If Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

大中軟科技有限公司的債務與EBITDA之比非常低,為0.29,因此看到利息覆蓋率較低是奇怪的,去年的EBIT僅為利息支出的2.3倍。因此,雖然我們不一定感到震驚,但我們認為它的債務遠非微不足道。如果中軟科技股份有限公司能夠保持去年12%的息税前利潤增長速度,那麼它的債務負擔將更容易管理。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為偉大的中軟科技有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,儘管税務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要看看息税前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。對於任何股東來説,令人高興的是,大中華軟科技有限公司在過去兩年產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息税前利潤。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像傻朋克演唱會上節奏下降時的觀眾一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Zooming out, Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.

好消息是,中軟科技有限公司證明有能力將息税前利潤轉化為自由現金流,這讓我們感到高興,就像毛茸茸的小狗對待蹣跚學步的孩子一樣。但嚴酷的事實是,我們對其利息掩蓋感到擔憂。縮小範圍,大中軟科技有限公司似乎相當合理地使用債務;這得到了我們的認可。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確定大華軟科技有限公司的2個警告標誌這一點你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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