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Improved Earnings Required Before China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) Stock's 74% Jump Looks Justified

Improved Earnings Required Before China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) Stock's 74% Jump Looks Justified

中國貝斯特教育集團(HKG:3978)股價上漲74%看起來合情合理
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/19 20:11

China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 74% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 81% share price decline over the last year.

中國貝斯特教育集團(HKG:3978)股東們會興奮地看到,股價在一個月內表現出色,上漲了74%,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。但上個月對改善去年81%的股價跌幅幾乎沒有起到什麼作用。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Beststudy Education Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.2x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

儘管股價強勁反彈,但中國貝斯特教育集團目前3.2倍的市盈率可能仍在發出非常看漲的信號,因為香港幾乎一半的公司的市盈率高於9倍,即使市盈率高於19倍也並不少見。儘管如此,僅僅從面值來看待市盈率是不明智的,因為可能會有一個解釋,為什麼它如此有限。

For instance, China Beststudy Education Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

例如,中國貝斯特教育集團(China BestStudy Education Group)最近不斷下滑的收益肯定值得深思。一種可能性是,市盈率較低是因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來不會採取足夠的措施來避免表現遜於大盤。然而,如果這不是最終的結果,那麼現有股東可能對未來股價的走勢感到樂觀。

View our latest analysis for China Beststudy Education Group

查看我們對China BestStudy教育集團的最新分析

SEHK:3978 Price Based on Past Earnings May 19th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
聯交所:3978基於過去收益的價格2022年5月19日想要了解公司的收益、收入和現金流的全貌嗎?那麼我們的
free
免費
report on China Beststudy Education Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
關於中國貝斯特教育集團的報道,將幫助你瞭解其歷史業績。

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

增長是否與低市盈率相匹配?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Beststudy Education Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

只有當中國貝斯特教育集團的增長明顯落後於市場時,你才會真正放心地看到該公司的市盈率如此低迷。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 25% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

先回過頭來看,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不值得興奮,因為它公佈了令人失望的27%的降幅。無論如何,得益於早期的增長,每股收益比三年前總共提高了25%。因此,我們可以從確認該公司在這段時間內總體上在收益增長方面做得很好開始,儘管在此過程中出現了一些小問題。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

這與其他市場形成對比,後者預計明年將增長17%,大大高於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。

With this information, we can see why China Beststudy Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

有了這些信息,我們就可以理解為什麼中國貝斯特教育集團的市盈率低於市場。顯然,許多股東對持有一隻他們認為將繼續追隨該交易所走勢的股票感到不安。

What We Can Learn From China Beststudy Education Group's P/E?

中國貝斯特教育集團的P/E能給我們什麼啟示?

Even after such a strong price move, China Beststudy Education Group's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

即使在如此強勁的價格波動之後,中國貝斯特教育集團的市盈率仍明顯落後於市場其他板塊。雖然市盈率不應該是你是否買入一隻股票的決定性因素,但它是一個很好的盈利預期晴雨表。

We've established that China Beststudy Education Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

我們已經確定,中國貝斯特教育集團維持其低市盈率,原因是其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預期,正如預期的那樣。在這個階段,投資者認為盈利改善的潛力還不夠大,不足以證明提高市盈率是合理的。如果近期的中期盈利趨勢繼續下去,在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來強勁上漲。

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Beststudy Education Group that you should be aware of.

在你決定你的觀點之前,我們發現中國貝斯特教育集團的4個警示信號這一點你應該知道。

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Beststudy Education Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

如果這些風險讓你重新考慮對中國貝斯特教育集團的看法,探索我們的高質量股票互動列表,以瞭解還有什麼。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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