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We Think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material (SHSE:603055) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material (SHSE:603055) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認為浙江泰華新材料(上證號:603055)可以繼續負債
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/18 18:31

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603055) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李路曾説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們可以看到浙江泰華新材料有限公司。(上海證券交易所:603055)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

為什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material

查看我們對浙江泰華新材料的最新分析

What Is Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material's Debt?

浙江泰華新材料的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material had debt of CN¥1.80b, up from CN¥1.52b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.01b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥786.2m.

您可以點擊查看更多詳細信息的下圖顯示,截至2022年3月,浙江泰華新材料的債務為人民幣18.億元,而一年的債務為人民幣1.52B元。另一方面,它擁有10.1億加元的現金,導致淨債務約為7.862億加元。

SHSE:603055 Debt to Equity History May 18th 2022
上證綜指:603055債轉股歷史2022年5月18日

A Look At Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material's Liabilities

浙江泰華新材料負債情況一瞥

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material had liabilities of CN¥2.00b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.01b as well as receivables valued at CN¥826.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,浙江泰華新材料一年內有20.億元的負債到期,13.2億元的負債在一年內到期。作為這些債務的抵消,該公司有10.1億加元的現金以及8.262億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,該公司的負債總額為人民幣14.9億元,比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多。

Since publicly traded Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material shares are worth a total of CN¥8.25b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由於上市的浙江泰華新材料股份總價值82.5億元人民幣,這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控它的資產負債表,以免它變得更糟。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務相對於收益的水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),第二個是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息覆蓋)的多少倍。因此,我們考慮債務相對於收益,包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material has net debt of just 0.91 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.9 times the interest expense over the last year. Better yet, Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material grew its EBIT by 116% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

浙江泰華新材料的淨債務僅為EBITDA的0.91倍,這表明它肯定不是一個魯莽的借款人。這一觀點得到了堅實的利息覆蓋率的支持,息税前利潤是去年利息支出的8.9倍。更好的是,浙江泰華新材料去年息税前利潤增長了116%,這是一個令人印象深刻的進步。這一提振將使未來償還債務變得更加容易。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定浙江泰華新材料能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤只是不能削減這一點。因此,合乎邏輯的一步是看看息税前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年裏,浙江泰華新材料燒掉了大量的現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務的風險大得多。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Considering this range of data points, we think Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material that you should be aware of before investing here.

根據我們所看到的浙江泰華新材料發現這並不容易,因為它將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流,但我們考慮的其他因素給了我們樂觀的理由。特別是,它的息税前利潤增長率讓我們眼花繚亂。考慮到這一範圍的數據點,我們認為浙江泰華新材料處於管理其債務水平的有利地位。話雖如此,這筆負擔足夠沉重,我們建議任何股東都要密切關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。例如,我們發現浙江泰華新材料的3個警示標誌在這裏投資之前你應該意識到這一點。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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