share_log

Investors five-year losses continue as Hang Lung Group (HKG:10) dips a further 4.5% this week, earnings continue to decline

Investors five-year losses continue as Hang Lung Group (HKG:10) dips a further 4.5% this week, earnings continue to decline

投資者連續五年虧損恆隆集團(HKG:10)本週進一步下跌4.5%,盈利繼續下降
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/15 20:49

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Hang Lung Group Limited (HKG:10), since the last five years saw the share price fall 56%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 17% in the same timeframe.

為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會喜憂參半。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在恆隆集團有限公司(HKG:10),自過去五年股價下跌56%以來。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裏下跌了18%。然而,有人可能會辯稱,價格受到了大盤的影響,大盤在同一時間段內下跌了17%。

Since Hang Lung Group has shed HK$926m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於恆隆集團在過去7天裏市值縮水9.26億港元,讓我們看看長期下跌是否受到該公司經濟狀況的推動。

See our latest analysis for Hang Lung Group

請參閲我們對恆隆集團的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Hang Lung Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在股價增長的五年中,恆隆集團實現了扭虧為盈。這通常會被認為是積極的,所以我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能會讓我們更好地瞭解其價值是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. However, revenue has declined at a compound annual rate of 7.2% per year. With dividends up, but revenue down, some investors might be concluding that the company is no longer growing.

穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。然而,收入以每年7.2%的複合年率下降。隨着股息增加,但收入下降,一些投資者可能會得出結論,該公司不再增長。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收益和收入隨時間的變化(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的價值)。

SEHK:10 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 16th 2022
聯交所:10盈利及收入增長2022年5月16日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Hang Lung Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我們喜歡的是,內部人士在過去12個月一直在買入股票。話雖如此,大多數人認為盈利和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。這免費如果你想進一步調查恆隆集團的股票,關於恆隆集團收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hang Lung Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -45%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰好,恆隆集團過去5年的TSR為-45%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Hang Lung Group returned a loss of 20% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 22%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hang Lung Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hang Lung Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

雖然恆隆集團在過去12個月內錄得20%的虧損,令人痛心,但大市的情況其實更差,虧損22%。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年8%的年化損失更糟糕。雖然一些投資者擅長買入那些陷入困境(但估值仍然被低估)的公司,但不要忘記巴菲特曾説過,扭虧為盈的情況很少出現轉機。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地瞭解恆隆集團,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了恆隆集團的2個警告標誌你應該知道,其中有一個是有點令人擔憂的。

Hang Lung Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

恆隆集團並不是業內人士買入的唯一一隻股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內幕收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論