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Here's Why Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd (SZSE:002838) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd (SZSE:002838) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是山東黎明集團(深交所股票代碼:002838)能夠負責任地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/10 18:56

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002838) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

一些人説,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到山東黎明聚合物有限公司(SZSE:002838)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd

查看我們對山東黎明聚合體有限公司的最新分析

What Is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's Debt?

山東黎明聚合物有限公司的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd had debt of CN¥448.6m, up from CN¥317.0m in one year. However, it also had CN¥359.7m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥89.0m.

你可以點擊查看更多細節的下圖顯示,截至2021年12月,山東黎明聚合有限公司的債務為4.486億加元,而一年的債務為3.17億加元。然而,它也有3.597億新元的現金,因此其淨債務為8900萬新元。

SZSE:002838 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2022
深圳證交所:002838債轉股歷史2022年5月10日

How Healthy Is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's Balance Sheet?

山東黎明聚合物有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd had liabilities of CN¥570.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥392.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥359.7m in cash and CN¥1.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥419.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最新報告的資產負債表,山東黎明聚合有限公司有5.704億加元的負債在12個月內到期,3.92億加元的負債在12個月後到期。作為抵消,它有3.597億加元的現金和10.2億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總計負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. But either way, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性是一個跡象,表明山東黎明化工股份有限公司很可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因為其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。但無論是哪種情況,山東黎明聚合物有限公司幾乎沒有淨債務,所以公平地説,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's net debt is only 0.27 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 28.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 72% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

山東黎明化工股份有限公司的淨債務僅為其息税前利潤的0.27倍。而且它的息税前利潤很容易彌補利息支出,是其規模的28.9倍。因此,你可以辯稱,它不會受到債務的威脅,就像大象受到老鼠的威脅一樣。事實上,山東黎明匯業有限公司的可取之處在於其較低的債務水平,因為它的息税前利潤在過去12個月裏暴跌了72%。説到還債,收入下降並不比含糖汽水對你的健康有什麼用處。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但影響未來資產負債表表現的將是山東黎明集團的盈利情況。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,有必要檢查這筆息税前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。看看最近三年,山東黎明化工股份有限公司的自由現金流佔其息税前利潤的29%,這一數字低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換增加了處理債務的難度。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Dawn PolymerLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

根據我們所看到的,考慮到山東黎明聚合物有限公司的息税前利潤增長率,它並不容易做到這一點,但我們考慮的其他因素讓我們有理由樂觀。毫無疑問,它用息税前利潤來彌補利息支出的能力是相當閃光的。當我們考慮到上述所有因素時,我們確實對山東黎明聚合物有限公司的債務使用感到有點謹慎。雖然我們認識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免增加。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了山東黎明聚合體有限公司的2個警告標誌你應該知道,其中一個是有點令人不快的。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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