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Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

亞東集團控股(HKG:1795)公佈盈利疲軟,但還有更多值得擔心的問題
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/10 18:33

The market shrugged off Yadong Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1795) weak earnings report. While shares were up, we believe there are some factors in the earnings report that might cause investors some concerns.

市場對此不屑一顧亞東集團控股有限公司(HKG:1795)盈利報告疲弱。雖然股價上漲,但我們認為收益報告中的一些因素可能會引起投資者的一些擔憂。

Check out our latest analysis for Yadong Group Holdings

查看我們對亞東集團控股的最新分析

SEHK:1795 Earnings and Revenue History May 10th 2022
聯交所:1795盈利及收入歷史2022年5月10日

A Closer Look At Yadong Group Holdings' Earnings

仔細看看亞東集團控股的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融書呆子們已經知道的那樣,現金流應計比率是評估一家公司的自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率為正,但值得注意的是,在應計比率相當高的地方。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to December 2021, Yadong Group Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.48. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥84m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥35.2m. We also note that Yadong Group Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥84m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2021年12月的一年,亞東集團控股的應計比率為0.48。從統計上講,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面影響。換句話説,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為8400萬元,而前述利潤為3520萬元。我們還注意到,亞東集團控股去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否對其流出的8400萬元人民幣感到困擾。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yadong Group Holdings.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對亞東集團控股的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yadong Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.4m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率,亞東集團控股的利潤在過去12個月裏被價值940萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振也就不足為奇了。雖然有更高的利潤總是好事,但不尋常的東西帶來的巨大貢獻有時會挫傷我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這些提振被描述為“不尋常的”,這正如你所預期的那樣。假設這些不同尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,我們因此預計明年的利潤會更弱(也就是説,在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Yadong Group Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對亞東集團控股公司利潤表現的看法

Summing up, Yadong Group Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yadong Group Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yadong Group Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

綜上所述,亞東集團控股從異常項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但無法將賬面利潤與自由現金流相匹配。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼亞東集團控股的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比潛在層面上的實際情況更好。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的瞭解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。當我們做研究時,我們發現亞東集團控股的4個警告信號(2個可能是嚴重的!)我們認為這值得你的全力關注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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