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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) (HKG:3616)

Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) (HKG:3616)

強勁的盈利可能不會永遠説明問題。Reach Group(Holdings)(HKG:3616)
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/09 18:44

Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited's (HKG:3616) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

永達集團(控股)有限公司(HKG:3616)近期強勁的收益對股價影響不大。我們認為,這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外,而關注的是他們所看到的。

Check out our latest analysis for Ever Reach Group (Holdings)

查看我們對Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的最新分析

SEHK:3616 Earnings and Revenue History May 9th 2022
聯交所:3616盈利及收入歷史2022年5月9日

Examining Cashflow Against Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Earnings

根據Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的收益檢查現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過了它的FCF的多少。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Ever Reach Group (Holdings) recorded an accrual ratio of 0.26. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥306.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥176m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥885m a year ago though, so Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2021年12月的12個月內,Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的應計比率為0.26。因此,我們可以推斷,它的自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤。儘管該公司報告利潤為3.069億加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了1.76億加元。我們看到一年前的FCF是8.85億加元,所以Ever Reach Group(Holdings)至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。對於Ever Reach Group(Holdings)股東來説,一個積極的因素是,該公司去年的應計比率顯著改善,提供了理由相信,該公司未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果情況確實如此,股東應該期待本年度相對於利潤的現金流有所改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ever Reach Group (Holdings).

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處進入我們對Ever Reach Group(Holdings)的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Profit Performance

我們對永達集團(控股)的利潤表現的看法

Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 7.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Ever Reach Group(Holdings)過去12個月的應計比率表明,現金轉換不太理想,這對我們對其收益的看法是負面的。正因為如此,我們認為永達集團(控股)的法定利潤可能好於其潛在的盈利能力。但至少持有者可以從過去三年每股收益7.2%的年增長率中得到一些安慰。歸根結底,如果你想正確地瞭解這家公司,除了以上幾個因素之外,考慮其他因素也是至關重要的。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司做更多的分析,瞭解其中的風險是至關重要的。例如,我們發現Ever Reach Group(Holdings)3個警示標誌(1不容忽視!)在進一步分析之前,這一點值得你注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只關注了揭示Ever Reach Group(Holdings)利潤性質的一個因素。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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