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Bank of Shanghai (SHSE:601229) shareholders have endured a 22% loss from investing in the stock five years ago

Bank of Shanghai (SHSE:601229) shareholders have endured a 22% loss from investing in the stock five years ago

上海銀行(上海證券交易所股票代碼:601229)的股東五年前投資該股損失了22%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/08 20:46

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Bank of Shanghai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601229), since the last five years saw the share price fall 35%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 16% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠多的贏家來抵消輸家在這一點上一些股東可能會質疑他們對上海銀行股份有限公司。(上交所:601229),自過去五年以來,股價下跌了35%。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裏下跌了11%。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到了大盤16%跌幅的影響。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看該公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Shanghai

查看我們對上海銀行的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

While the share price declined over five years, Bank of Shanghai actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 6.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,但上海銀行實際上成功地增加每股收益平均每年增長6.5%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率和股價增長率之間的鮮明對比,我們傾向於通過其他指標來了解圍繞股票不斷變化的市場情緒。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我們注意到,股息一直保持健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前還不清楚為什麼股價會下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收益和收入隨時間的變化(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的價值)。

SHSE:601229 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2022
上海證交所:601229收益和收入增長2022年5月9日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. If you are thinking of buying or selling Bank of Shanghai stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。但是,儘管CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是,公司能否在未來實現收益增長。如果你正在考慮買賣上海銀行的股票,你應該看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Bank of Shanghai the TSR over the last 5 years was -22%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,上海銀行過去5年的TSR為-22%,好於上面提到的股價回報率。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, Bank of Shanghai shareholders did even worse, losing 19% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Bank of Shanghai you should be aware of.

雖然大盤在過去12個月裏下跌了約14%,但上海銀行股東的表現更糟,下跌了19%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年4%的年化損失更糟糕。一般來説,股價長期疲軟可能是一個壞信號,儘管反向投資者可能會希望研究這隻股票,希望它能好轉。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。舉個例子:我們發現了上海銀行的一個警告標誌,你應該注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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