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NWS Holdings (HKG:659) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NWS Holdings (HKG:659) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

新創建控股(HKG:659)有債務但沒有盈利;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/08 20:46

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that NWS Holdings Limited (HKG:659) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的代名詞。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。我們注意到新創建集團有限公司(HKG:659)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一個重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

See our latest analysis for NWS Holdings

查看我們對新創建控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does NWS Holdings Carry?

新創建控股揹負着多少債務?

As you can see below, NWS Holdings had HK$20.1b of debt at December 2021, down from HK$25.4b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$28.2b in cash, so it actually has HK$8.05b net cash.

如下所示,截至2021年12月,新創建控股的債務為201億港元,低於一年前的254億港元。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有282億港元的現金,因此它實際上擁有80.5億港元的淨現金。

SEHK:659 Debt to Equity History May 9th 2022
聯交所:659債轉股歷史2022年5月9日

How Healthy Is NWS Holdings' Balance Sheet?

新創建控股的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that NWS Holdings had liabilities of HK$51.5b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$40.9b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$28.2b as well as receivables valued at HK$8.78b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$55.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,新創建控股有515億港元的負債在一年內到期,而409億港元的負債在一年內到期。該公司有282億港元現金及價值87.8億港元的應收賬款於12個月內到期,以抵銷這些債務。因此,該公司的負債總額為555億港元,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$27.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, NWS Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. NWS Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NWS Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這一不足給這家市值274億港元的公司本身帶來了沉重的負擔,就像一個孩子在一個裝滿書籍、運動裝備和小號的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們肯定認為股東需要密切關注這一事件。畢竟,如果新創建控股今天不得不償還債權人的債務,它很可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。新創建控股擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地説,它沒有沉重的債務負擔,即使它總共有非常重大的債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定新創建控股能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, NWS Holdings reported revenue of HK$30b, which is a gain of 18%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在過去12個月中,新創建控股公佈的收入為300億港元,增長18%,儘管該公司沒有公佈任何息税前收益。這種增長速度對我們的品味來説有點慢,但它需要所有類型的人來創造一個世界。

So How Risky Is NWS Holdings?

那麼,新創建控股的風險有多大呢?

Although NWS Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of HK$1.9b. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NWS Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

雖然新創建控股在過去12個月錄得息税前盈利(EBIT)虧損,但其法定盈利為港幣19億元。因此,從表面上看,考慮到現金,我們認為短期內風險不是很大。考慮到未來收入(和現金流)缺乏透明度,我們對這款產品感到緊張,直到它做出第一筆大銷售。對我們來説,這是一場高風險的比賽。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。請注意,新創建控股在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個不太受我們歡迎……

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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