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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Sinomax Group Limited (HKG:1418) As Shares Slide 26%

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Sinomax Group Limited (HKG:1418) As Shares Slide 26%

對Sinomax Group Limited(HKG:1418)缺乏一些信心,股價下跌26%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/08 20:16

Sinomax Group Limited (HKG:1418) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 2.6% over the last twelve months.

Sinomax集團有限公司(HKG:1418)股東不會高興看到股價經歷了非常艱難的一個月,下跌了26%,抹去了前一段時間的積極表現。事實上,最近的下跌使其在過去12個月的年漲幅降至相對平穩的2.6%。

Although its price has dipped substantially, Sinomax Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.2x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

儘管股價大幅下跌,但Sinomax Group 18.2倍的市盈率(P/E)仍可能使其目前看起來是一個強勁的賣盤。在香港,大約一半的公司的市盈率低於9倍,甚至市盈率低於5倍的情況也很常見。然而,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Sinomax Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

舉例來説,Sinomax集團過去一年的收益一直在惡化,這根本不是理想的情況。一種可能性是,市盈率很高,因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來仍將採取足夠的措施來跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。

Check out our latest analysis for Sinomax Group

查看我們對Sinomax集團的最新分析

SEHK:1418 Price Based on Past Earnings May 9th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sinomax Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
聯交所:1418基於過去收益的價格2022年5月9日雖然沒有分析師對Sinomax Group的估計,但請看一下這張免費的數據豐富的可視化圖,看看該公司在收益、收入和現金流方面是如何堆積的。

How Is Sinomax Group's Growth Trending?

Sinomax集團的增長趨勢如何?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Sinomax Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

看到Sinomax Group這樣高的市盈率,你唯一會真正感到放心的時候,就是該公司的增長有望明顯超過市場的時候。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 74%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因為它公佈了令人失望的74%的降幅。至少,由於早期的增長,每股收益總體上沒有從三年前完全倒退。因此,公平地説,該公司最近的收益增長一直不一致。

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

將最近的中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長17%的預測進行比較,結果顯示,按年率計算,它的吸引力明顯下降。

With this information, we find it concerning that Sinomax Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

根據這些信息,我們發現Sinomax集團的市盈率高於市場。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

What We Can Learn From Sinomax Group's P/E?

我們可以從Sinomax集團的市盈率中學到什麼?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Sinomax Group's very lofty P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

股價的大幅下跌對Sinomax Group非常高的市盈率幾乎沒有起到什麼作用。有人認為,在某些行業,市盈率是衡量價值的次要指標,但它可以成為一個強大的商業信心指標。

Our examination of Sinomax Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我們對Sinomax Group的調查顯示,該集團三年來的盈利趨勢對其高市盈率的影響並不像我們預期的那麼大,因為它們看起來比目前的市場預期更糟糕。目前,我們對高市盈率越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支撐這種積極情緒。如果近期的中期盈利趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sinomax Group (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

還有其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們發現了Sinomax集團的4個警告標誌(其中1個不太適合我們!)你應該知道。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sinomax Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

當然了,你也許還能找到比Sinomax Group更好的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費市盈率低於20倍、盈利增長強勁的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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