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We Think Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

We Think Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

我們認為沛嘉醫療(HKG:9996)能夠推動業務增長
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 19:56

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

我們很容易理解為什麼投資者會被不盈利的公司所吸引。例如,雖然亞馬遜上市後多年虧損,但如果你從1999年開始買入並持有股票,你就會發大財。但是,儘管歷史讚頌這些罕見的成功,但那些失敗的往往會被遺忘;誰還記得Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

所以,自然的問題是沛嘉醫療(HKG:9996)股東是否應該關注其燒錢的速度。在這份報告中,我們將考慮該公司的年度自由現金流為負,此後將其稱為“現金消耗”。第一步是將它的現金消耗與其現金儲備進行比較,給我們提供它的“現金跑道”。

Check out our latest analysis for Peijia Medical

查看我們對沛嘉醫療的最新分析

Does Peijia Medical Have A Long Cash Runway?

沛嘉醫療有很長的現金跑道嗎?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Peijia Medical last reported its balance sheet in December 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥2.3b. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥629m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.7 years as of December 2021. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be a lot longer. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

一家公司的現金跑道是通過將其現金儲備除以現金消耗來計算的。沛嘉醫療上一次報告資產負債表是在2021年12月,當時它沒有債務和現金,價值23億元人民幣。去年,它的現金消耗為6.29億加元。這意味着,截至2021年12月,該公司的現金跑道壽命約為3.7年。毫無疑問,這是一條令人放心的長跑道。重要的是,如果我們推斷最近的現金消耗趨勢,現金跑道將會更長。如下所示,你可以看到它的現金持有量是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

SEHK:9996 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2022
聯交所:9996債轉股歷史2022年5月6日

How Well Is Peijia Medical Growing?

沛嘉醫療的增長情況如何?

It was quite stunning to see that Peijia Medical increased its cash burn by 204% over the last year. It seems likely that the vociferous operating revenue growth of 253% during that time may well have given management confidence to ramp investment. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

令人震驚的是,沛嘉醫療的現金消耗比去年增加了204%。在此期間,營業收入大幅增長253%,這似乎很可能給了管理層增加投資的信心。根據上述數據,我們對業務增長軌跡相當樂觀。雖然過去總是值得研究的,但最重要的是未來。因此,你可能想看看該公司在未來幾年的預期增長速度。

Can Peijia Medical Raise More Cash Easily?

沛嘉醫療能輕鬆籌到更多現金嗎?

While Peijia Medical seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

儘管沛嘉醫療似乎處於有利地位,但我們認為,如果事實證明這是可取的,那麼它籌集更多資金的難度有多大,仍值得思考。公司可以通過債務或股權籌集資金。通常情況下,企業會自行發售新股,以籌集現金並推動增長。我們可以將一家公司的現金消耗與其市值進行比較,以瞭解一家公司需要發行多少新股才能為一年的運營提供資金。

Peijia Medical has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.2b and burnt through CN¥629m last year, which is 20% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

沛嘉醫療的市值為32億元人民幣,去年燒掉了6.29億元人民幣,佔該公司市值的20%。因此,我們冒險認為,該公司可以毫不費力地籌集更多現金來實現增長,儘管代價是一些股權稀釋。

How Risky Is Peijia Medical's Cash Burn Situation?

沛嘉醫療燒錢的風險有多大?

On this analysis of Peijia Medical's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Peijia Medical's situation. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Peijia Medical that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

在對沛嘉醫療燒錢的分析中,我們認為其收入增長令人放心,但不斷增加的燒錢也讓我們有點擔憂。雖然我們是那種總是對燒錢公司的風險感到擔憂的投資者,但我們在本文中討論的指標讓我們對沛嘉醫療的情況相對放心。對風險的深入審視揭示了沛嘉醫療的兩個警示信號,讀者在向該股出資之前應該思考一下。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內部人士正在買入的公司名單,以及這份名單中的成長股(根據分析師預測)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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