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What Hing Ming Holdings Limited's (HKG:8425) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Hing Ming Holdings Limited's (HKG:8425) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

興明控股有限公司(HKG:8425)27%的股價漲幅沒有告訴你什麼
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 18:56

Those holding Hing Ming Holdings Limited (HKG:8425) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 71% share price drop in the last twelve months.

持有者興明集團有限公司(HKG:8425)股價在過去30天裏反彈了27%,股價會鬆一口氣,但它需要繼續努力修復最近對投資者投資組合造成的損害。儘管如此,30天的漲幅並沒有改變這樣一個事實,即較長期股東的股票在過去12個月裏因股價下跌71%而大幅下挫。

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Hing Ming Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

由於興明股價飆升,鑑於香港近半數公司的市盈率(本益比)低於9倍,你可能會認為興明控股是一隻完全避免上市的股票,其市盈率為34.1倍。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅上升是否有合理的基礎。

Hing Ming Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

興明控股最近確實做得很好,因為它一直在以非常快的速度增長收益。市盈率之所以高,可能是因為投資者認為,這種強勁的盈利增長在不久的將來將足以跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

View our latest analysis for Hing Ming Holdings

查看我們對興明控股的最新分析

SEHK:8425 Price Based on Past Earnings May 6th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hing Ming Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
聯交所:8425基於過去收益的價格2022年5月6日我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以查看我們對興明控股收益、收入和現金流的免費報告,看看最近的趨勢是如何為公司未來奠定基礎的。

Is There Enough Growth For Hing Ming Holdings?

興明控股是否有足夠的增長空間?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hing Ming Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

有一種固有的假設,即一家公司的市盈率應該遠遠超過市場,像興明控股這樣的市盈率才是合理的。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 350%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 70% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我們回顧過去一年的收益增長,該公司公佈了350%的驚人增長。儘管最近增長強勁,但它仍在努力追趕,因為其三年期每股收益總體上令人沮喪地縮水了70%。因此,公平地説,最近的收益增長對公司來説是不可取的。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

與預計未來12個月將實現17%增長的市場相比,根據最近的中期收益結果,該公司的下行勢頭令人警醒。

In light of this, it's alarming that Hing Ming Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鑑於此,興明控股的市盈率高於其他大多數公司,這是令人擔憂的。似乎大多數投資者都忽視了最近糟糕的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

What We Can Learn From Hing Ming Holdings' P/E?

我們可以從興明控股的市盈率中學到什麼?

The strong share price surge has got Hing Ming Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

強勁的股價飆升也推動興明控股的市盈率飆升。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們會告誡不要過度解讀市盈率,儘管它可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對該公司的看法。

Our examination of Hing Ming Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我們對興明控股的調查顯示,考慮到股市的增長,該公司中期收益的縮水對其高市盈率的影響並不像我們預期的那麼大。當我們看到盈利出現倒退,表現遜於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,導致高市盈率走低。如果近期的中期盈利趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。

You need to take note of risks, for example - Hing Ming Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

例如,你需要注意風險--興明控股有3個警告信號(其中1個是有關的),我們認為你應該知道。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hing Ming Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

當然了,你也許還能找到比興明控股更好的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費市盈率低於20倍、盈利增長強勁的其他公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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