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Shanghai Wondertek Software's (SHSE:603189) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

Shanghai Wondertek Software's (SHSE:603189) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

上海旺德泰克軟件(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603189)的股東們需要擔心的不僅僅是低迷的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 18:34

Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603189) weak earnings were disregarded by the market. Despite the market responding positively, we think that there are several concerning factors that investors should be aware of.

上海旺德泰克軟件有限公司(上海證券交易所:603189)疲弱的盈利被市場忽視。儘管市場反應積極,但我們認為有幾個令人擔憂的因素值得投資者注意。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Wondertek Software

查看我們對上海Wondertek軟件的最新分析

SHSE:603189 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2022
上海證交所:603189收益和收入歷史2022年5月6日

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Wondertek Software's Earnings

考察現金流與上海旺德泰克軟件公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Shanghai Wondertek Software recorded an accrual ratio of 0.38. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥208m despite its profit of CN¥67.7m, mentioned above. We also note that Shanghai Wondertek Software's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥208m. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.

在截至2022年3月的12個月內,上海旺德泰克軟件的應計比率為0.38。從統計上講,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面影響。換句話説,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。在過去的12個月裏,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為6770萬元,但仍流出2.08億元。我們還注意到,上海旺德泰克軟件去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否對其流出的2.08億元人民幣感到困擾。對股東來説,不幸的是,該公司也一直在發行新股,稀釋了他們在未來收益中的份額。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Wondertek Software.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海旺德泰克軟件的資產負債表分析。

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Shanghai Wondertek Software expanded the number of shares on issue by 22% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Shanghai Wondertek Software's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

評估收益質量的一個重要方面是看一家公司在多大程度上稀釋了股東的權益。上海旺德泰克軟件公司去年將發行的股票數量擴大了22%。因此,每股現在獲得的利潤份額較小。談論淨利潤,而不注意每股收益,就是被大數字分散注意力,而忽略了與之交談的較小數字每股價值。點擊此鏈接,查看上海旺德泰克軟件的歷史每股收益增長情況。

A Look At The Impact Of Shanghai Wondertek Software's Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

看看上海旺德泰克軟件的稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響。

As you can see above, Shanghai Wondertek Software has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 165% over three years. But EPS was only up 112% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 13% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 22%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

正如你在上面看到的,上海旺德泰克軟件在過去的幾年裏一直在增長其淨收入,三年來的年化收益為165%。但在完全相同的時期,每股收益僅增長了112%。淨利潤在過去12個月裏下降了13%。然而,對股東來説不幸的是,每股收益結果更糟糕,下降了22%。因此,稀釋對股東回報的影響是值得注意的。

If Shanghai Wondertek Software's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果上海Wondertek Software的每股收益能夠隨着時間的推移而增長,那麼這將極大地提高股價向同一方向變動的可能性。但另一方面,當我們得知利潤(但不是每股收益)改善時,我們就不會那麼興奮了。對於普通散户股東來説,EPS是檢查你假設的公司利潤份額的一個很好的措施。

Our Take On Shanghai Wondertek Software's Profit Performance

我們對上海Wondertek軟件盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Wondertek Software has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai Wondertek Software's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shanghai Wondertek Software at this point in time. Be aware that Shanghai Wondertek Software is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is significant...

總而言之,相對於盈利,上海旺德泰克軟件的現金流較弱,這表明盈利質量較低,而稀釋意味着股東現在持有的公司比例較小(假設他們保持相同的股份數量)。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼上海旺德泰克軟件的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但考慮到上海旺德泰克軟件公司目前面臨的風險也同樣重要。請注意,上海旺德泰克軟件在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中1個是重要的…

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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