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Is Sinofert Holdings (HKG:297) A Risky Investment?

Is Sinofert Holdings (HKG:297) A Risky Investment?

中化集團控股(HKG:297)是一項高風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/05 20:56

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Sinofert Holdings Limited (HKG:297) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李路曾説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到中化集團有限公司(HKG:297)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Sinofert Holdings

查看我們對中化控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Sinofert Holdings Carry?

中化控股揹負着多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinofert Holdings had debt of CN¥1.04b at the end of December 2021, a reduction from CN¥1.71b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.32b in cash, leading to a CN¥275.4m net cash position.

下圖顯示,截至2021年12月底,中化集團的債務為人民幣10.4億元,較一年內的人民幣17.1億元有所減少。但另一方面,它也有13.2億新元的現金,導致2.754億新元的淨現金頭寸。

SEHK:297 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2022
聯交所:297債轉股歷史2022年5月6日

How Healthy Is Sinofert Holdings' Balance Sheet?

中化集團的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Sinofert Holdings had liabilities of CN¥7.16b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.35b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.56b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,中化控股有71.6億加元的負債在12個月內到期,13.5億加元的負債在12個月後到期。作為對這些債務的抵銷,該公司有13.2億加元的現金以及15.6億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額為人民幣56.4億元,比現金和短期應收賬款的總和還要多。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.98b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sinofert Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

與其79.8億元的市值相比,這是一個堆積如山的槓桿。這表明,如果該公司需要匆忙支撐其資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。儘管中化集團確實有值得注意的負債,但它的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。

Also good is that Sinofert Holdings grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinofert Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一個好消息是,中化控股去年息税前利潤增長了17%,進一步增強了其管理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定中化集團未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Sinofert Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Sinofert Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤只是不能削減這一點。中化控股的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該業務將息税前利潤(EBIT)轉換為自由現金流的情況仍很有趣,因為這將影響其對債務的需求和管理債務的能力。在過去三年中,中化控股產生了相當於息税前利潤59%的強勁自由現金流,這與我們的預期相符。這種自由現金流使公司在適當的時候處於償還債務的有利地位。

Summing up

總結

While Sinofert Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥275.4m. And we liked the look of last year's 17% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Sinofert Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sinofert Holdings .

儘管中化集團的負債確實多於流動資產,但它也擁有2.754億元人民幣的淨現金。我們喜歡去年息税前利潤同比增長17%的表現。因此,我們並不為中化集團的債務使用感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。為此,你應該注意到我們在中化控股身上發現的兩個警告信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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