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Why Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's (SHSE:600234) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's (SHSE:600234) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

為什麼廣和山水文化傳播(上海證券交易所代碼:600234)收益不穩定只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/05 19:44

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600234) the stock price made a strong positive move. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

在發佈了平淡無奇的收益報告後,廣合山水文化傳播有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600234)股價出現了強勁的利好走勢。我們研究了細節,我們認為投資者可能是在對一些令人鼓舞的因素做出反應。

View our latest analysis for Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication

查看我們對廣河山水文化傳播的最新分析

SHSE:600234 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2022
上海證券交易所:600234收益和收入歷史2022年5月5日

A Closer Look At Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Earnings

細看廣河山水文化傳播的盈利

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to December 2021. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥12.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥132m in the last year. It's worth noting that Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication generated positive FCF of CN¥27m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to consider. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively.

截至2021年12月止年度,廣和山水文化傳播的應計比率為0.33。因此,我們可以推斷,它的自由現金流遠遠低於其法定利潤,這表明我們在加大對後者的重視之前,可能需要三思而後行。儘管它報告了1260萬加元的利潤,但看看自由現金流就會發現,它在去年實際上燒掉了1.32億加元。值得注意的是,廣河山水文化傳播一年前產生了2700萬元的正FCF,所以至少他們過去做到了。話雖如此,還有更多需要考慮的問題。我們可以看看損益表中的不尋常項目是如何影響其應計比率的,也可以探索稀釋是如何對股東產生負面影響的。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處進入我們廣河山水文化傳播的資產負債表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication expanded the number of shares on issue by 30% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

要了解一家公司盈利增長的價值,必須考慮對股東利益的任何稀釋。廣和山水文化傳播在去年的基礎上擴大了30%的發行數量。因此,每股現在獲得的利潤份額較小。在慶祝淨利潤的同時忽視稀釋,就像是因為你只有一片更大的披薩而感到高興,但忽略了披薩現在被切成更多片的事實。點擊此鏈接,查看廣河山水文化傳播的歷史每股收益增長。

A Look At The Impact Of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

看廣和山水文化傳播稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響。

Three years ago, Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication lost money. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 78%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 80% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

三年前,廣和山水文化傳播虧損。即使是去年,利潤仍下降了78%。可悲的是,收入每股進一步下跌,降下來在那段時間裏足足有80%。因此,你可以看到,股權稀釋對股東產生了相當大的影響。

If Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果廣和山水文化傳播的每股收益能夠隨着時間的推移而增長,那麼這將極大地提高股價向同一方向移動的機會。但另一方面,當我們得知利潤(但不是每股收益)改善時,我們就不會那麼興奮了。對於普通散户股東來説,EPS是檢查你假設的公司利潤份額的一個很好的措施。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥6.4m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

廣和山水文化傳播的利潤受到異常項目的影響,在過去的12個月裏利潤減少了640萬元。在這種情況下,這是一個非現金費用,它會更容易有較高的現金轉換率,所以令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。雖然最初由於不尋常的項目而扣除的金額令人失望,但也有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。如果廣和山水文化傳播沒有看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其來年的利潤將會增加。

Our Take On Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's Profit Performance

淺談廣河山水文化傳播的盈利表現

Summing up, Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, and its accrual ratio indicates a lack of free cash flow relative to profit. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. Based on these factors, we think that Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication's statutory profits probably make it seem better than it is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication you should be mindful of and 1 of these makes us a bit uncomfortable.

綜上所述,廣和山水文化傳播的異常項目表明其法定收益暫時低迷,其應計比率表明相對於利潤缺乏自由現金流。而稀釋意味着每股收益比底線可能暗示的要弱。基於這些因素,我們認為,廣和山水文化傳播的法定利潤可能會讓它看起來比潛在層面上的情況要好。請記住,在分析一隻股票時,值得注意其中的風險。舉個例子:我們發現了廣河山水文化傳播的4個警示標誌,其中1個讓我們有點不舒服。

Our examination of Guanghe Landscape Culture Communication has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對廣河山水文化傳播的考察集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓廣河山水文化傳播的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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