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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Wanguo International Mining Group (HKG:3939)

Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Wanguo International Mining Group (HKG:3939)

強勁的盈利可能不能説明萬國國際礦業集團(HKG:3939)的全部故事
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/05 18:47

Wanguo International Mining Group Limited (HKG:3939) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

萬國國際礦業集團有限公司(HKG:3939)公佈強勁盈利,但股價停滯不前。我們的分析表明,股東們注意到了數字中的一些令人擔憂的地方。

View our latest analysis for Wanguo International Mining Group

查看我們對萬國國際礦業集團的最新分析

SEHK:3939 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2022
聯交所:3939盈利及收入歷史2022年5月5日

Examining Cashflow Against Wanguo International Mining Group's Earnings

考察現金流對萬國國際礦業集團收益的影響

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Wanguo International Mining Group recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥193.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥86m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥34m a year ago though, so Wanguo International Mining Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在截至2021年12月的12個月內,萬國國際礦業集團的應計比率為0.23。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其公佈的利潤。儘管該公司報告利潤為1.934億加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了8600萬加元。我們看到一年前的FCF是3400萬加元,所以萬國國際礦業集團至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Wanguo International Mining Group.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對萬國國際礦業集團的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Wanguo International Mining Group's Profit Performance

我們對萬國國際礦業集團盈利表現的看法

Wanguo International Mining Group didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Wanguo International Mining Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Wanguo International Mining Group at this point in time. For example, we've found that Wanguo International Mining Group has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

萬國國際礦業集團去年沒有將大部分利潤轉化為自由現金流,一些投資者可能認為這相當不理想。因此,在我們看來,萬國國際礦業集團的真實潛在盈利能力實際上低於其法定利潤是可能的。但從好的方面來看,它的每股收益在過去三年裏以令人印象深刻的速度增長。歸根結底,如果你想正確地瞭解這家公司,除了以上幾個因素之外,考慮其他因素也是至關重要的。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但考慮到萬國國際礦業集團目前面臨的風險也同樣重要。例如,我們發現萬國國際礦業集團有兩個警示標誌(1個有點令人擔憂!)在進一步分析之前,這一點值得你注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Wanguo International Mining Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地瞭解萬國國際礦業集團的利潤性質。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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