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Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) investors are sitting on a loss of 24% if they invested five years ago

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) investors are sitting on a loss of 24% if they invested five years ago

重慶農村商業銀行(HKG:3618)投資者如果在五年前投資,將損失24%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 19:52

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:3618) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade.

選股的主要目的是尋找跑贏大盤的股票。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。所以我們不會責怪長期重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司。(HKG:3618)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了41%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。

See our latest analysis for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

請看我們對重慶農村商業銀行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.01% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 10% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 2.92.

在股價下跌的五年裏,重慶農村商業銀行的每股收益(EPS)每年下降0.01%。每股收益的這一降幅低於該公司股價每年10%的降幅。這暗示市場此前對該股過於樂觀。這種不那麼有利的情緒反映在其目前2.92的市盈率上。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的值)。

SEHK:3618 Earnings Per Share Growth May 4th 2022
聯交所:3618每股盈利增長2022年5月4日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是,公司能否在未來實現收益增長。在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細檢查一下歷史增長趨勢,可在此處找到。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's TSR for the last 5 years was -24%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,重慶農村商業銀行最近5年的TSR為-24%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 0.9% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 21%. What is more upsetting is the 4% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. Before forming an opinion on Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

雖然虧損從來都不是好事,但重慶農村商業銀行股東可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在內,他們過去12個月0.9%的虧損沒有市場虧損21%左右那麼糟糕。更令人沮喪的是,投資者在過去五年裏遭受了每年4%的損失。這種股價走勢並不特別鼓舞人心,但至少損失正在放緩。在對重慶農村商業銀行形成看法之前,你可能會考慮一下它支付的冷酷現金作為股息。這免費圖表跟蹤了其一段時間的股息。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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