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Huijing Holdings' (HKG:9968) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Huijing Holdings' (HKG:9968) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

滙景控股(HKG:9968)業績低迷可能只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 19:27

Huijing Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:9968) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

滙景控股有限公司(HKG:9968)最近疲弱的盈利報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數據外,投資者還應該意識到數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

View our latest analysis for Huijing Holdings

查看我們對滙景控股的最新分析

SEHK:9968 Earnings and Revenue History May 4th 2022
聯交所:9968盈利及收入歷史2022年5月4日

Zooming In On Huijing Holdings' Earnings

放大滙景控股的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融書呆子們已經知道的那樣,現金流應計比率是評估一家公司的自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Huijing Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.34. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥256.1m. We also note that Huijing Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥1.4b. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2021年12月的12個月內,滙景控股的應計比率為0.34。因此,我們可以推斷,它的自由現金流遠遠低於其法定利潤,這表明我們在加大對後者的重視之前,可能需要三思而後行。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為人民幣14億元,而前述利潤為人民幣2.561億元。我們還注意到滙景控股去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否因其流出14億元人民幣而感到困擾。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Huijing Holdings.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對滙景控股的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Huijing Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥168m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Huijing Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考慮到應計比率,滙景控股的利潤在過去12個月裏被價值1.68億元人民幣的不尋常項目提振也就不足為奇了。雖然有更高的利潤總是好事,但不尋常的東西帶來的巨大貢獻有時會挫傷我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。如果滙景控股沒有看到這種貢獻再次出現,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計該公司今年的利潤將會下降。

Our Take On Huijing Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對滙景控股盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Huijing Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Huijing Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Huijing Holdings (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

綜上所述,滙景控股從異常項目中獲利獲得了不錯的提振,但無法將賬面利潤與自由現金流相匹配。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼滙景控股的法定利潤,可能會讓它在潛在層面上看起來比實際情況更好。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司做更多的分析,瞭解其中的風險是至關重要的。每家公司都有風險,我們為滙景控股發現了2個警示信號(其中1個不容忽視!)你應該知道。

Our examination of Huijing Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對滙景控股的審查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓滙景控股的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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