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We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Jiusheng Electric's (SZSE:301082) Earnings

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Jiusheng Electric's (SZSE:301082) Earnings

我們認為您應該知道久盛電氣(SZSE:301082)收益中的一些令人擔憂的因素
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 19:27

Following the solid earnings report from Jiusheng Electric Co., LTD (SZSE:301082), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

繼來自以下公司的穩健收益報告之後九盛電氣股份有限公司(SZSE:301082),市場的反應是抬高了股價。雖然利潤數字不錯,但我們的分析發現了一些值得股東關注的因素。

View our latest analysis for Jiusheng Electric

查看我們對久勝電氣的最新分析

SZSE:301082 Earnings and Revenue History May 4th 2022
深圳證交所:301082盈利和收入歷史2022年5月4日

Examining Cashflow Against Jiusheng Electric's Earnings

對照久盛電氣的盈利考察現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。

For the year to December 2021, Jiusheng Electric had an accrual ratio of 0.67. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥87.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥457m in the last year. It's worth noting that Jiusheng Electric generated positive FCF of CN¥19m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

截至2021年12月的一年,久盛電機的應計比率為0.67。一般來説,這對未來的盈利能力來説是個不好的預兆。換句話説,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。儘管該公司報告利潤為8790萬加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了4.57億加元。值得注意的是,久盛電氣一年前產生了1900萬元的正FCF,所以至少他們過去做到了。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiusheng Electric.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對久勝電器的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Jiusheng Electric's Profit Performance

我們對久勝電氣盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Jiusheng Electric didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Jiusheng Electric's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 29% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Jiusheng Electric (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我們已經説得很清楚的那樣,我們有點擔心久盛電氣沒有用自由現金流來支撐去年的利潤。因此,我們認為九盛電氣的潛在盈利能力很可能低於其法定利潤。儘管如此,值得注意的是,它的每股收益在過去三年裏以29%的速度增長。當然,當談到分析其收益時,我們只是觸及了皮毛;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報等因素。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。當我們做調查時,我們發現了久勝電氣的3個警告標誌(1個是關於!)我們認為這值得你的全力關注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiusheng Electric's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只關注了一個因素,它揭示了久勝電氣的利潤性質。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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