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Why Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301072) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301072) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

為什麼中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司(SZSE:301072)的疲軟收益只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/04 18:57

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301072) stock wasn't much affected by its recent lackluster earnings numbers. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司(SZSE:301072)近期低迷的盈利數據對股市影響不大。我們做了一些分析,發現了法定利潤數字下的一些相關細節。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd

查看我們對中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:301072 Earnings and Revenue History May 4th 2022
深圳證交所:301072盈利和收入歷史2022年5月4日

Zooming In On Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's Earnings

放大中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這個比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過了它的FCF的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

For the year to March 2022, Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥40.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥93m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥93m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2022年3月的一年,中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的應計比率為0.25。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其公佈的利潤。儘管該公司報告利潤為4060萬加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了9300萬加元。在去年自由現金流為負的背景下,我們可以想象,一些股東可能會懷疑,該公司今年9300萬加元的現金消耗是否意味着高風險。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對中傑(江蘇)科技有限公司的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.8m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考慮到應計比率,中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的利潤在過去12個月裏被價值980萬元的不尋常項目提振也就不足為奇了。雖然有更高的利潤總是好事,但不尋常的東西帶來的巨大貢獻有時會挫傷我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司在截至2022年3月的利潤中,異常項目做出了相當大的貢獻。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的項目使其法定利潤比其他情況下要強勁得多。

Our Take On Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd (including 1 which is significant).

綜上所述,中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司從異常項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但賬面利潤與自由現金流不匹配。考慮到這一切,我們認為中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的利潤可能給人一種過於慷慨的印象,表明其可持續的盈利水平。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。為此,你應該瞭解一下我們在中傑(江蘇)科技有限公司發現的3個警告信號(其中1個是重要的)。

Our examination of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對中捷(江蘇)科技有限公司的調查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓公司的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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