share_log

Why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s (HKG:1739) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s (HKG:1739) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

為什麼Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)(HKG:1739)的收益比看起來的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/03 19:56

Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc.'s (HKG:1739) stock rose after it released a robust earnings report. However, we think that shareholders should be aware of some other factors beyond the profit numbers.

Qeeka Home(Cayman)Inc.(HKG:1739)股價上漲,此前該公司發佈強勁的收益報告。然而,我們認為,股東應該意識到利潤數字以外的一些其他因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Qeeka Home (Cayman)

查看我們對Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的最新分析

SEHK:1739 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2022
聯交所:1739盈利及收入歷史2022年5月3日

Examining Cashflow Against Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Earnings

檢查Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的現金流和收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

Qeeka Home (Cayman) has an accrual ratio of 2.18 for the year to December 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥74.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥211m in the last year. It's worth noting that Qeeka Home (Cayman) generated positive FCF of CN¥73m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Qeeka Home (Cayman) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)在截至2021年12月的一年中的應計比率為2.18。一般來説,這對未來的盈利能力來説是個不好的預兆。換句話説,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。儘管該公司報告利潤為7,410萬加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了2.11億加元。值得注意的是,Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)一年前產生了7300萬元的正FCF,所以至少他們過去做到了。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。對Qeeka Home(開曼)股東來説,一個積極的因素是,該公司去年的應計比率明顯好於去年,這提供了一個理由,讓人相信它未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果情況確實如此,股東應該期待本年度相對於利潤的現金流有所改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qeeka Home (Cayman).

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊此處查看我們對Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥103m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考慮到應計比率,Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的利潤在過去12個月裏受到價值1.03億元人民幣的不尋常項目的提振也就不足為奇了。雖然有更高的利潤總是好事,但不尋常的東西帶來的巨大貢獻有時會挫傷我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。我們可以看到,Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的積極異常項目與其截至2021年12月的年度利潤相比相當重要。在其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成為衡量潛在盈利能力的糟糕指標。

Our Take On Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Profit Performance

我們對Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)盈利表現的看法

Qeeka Home (Cayman) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you want to do dive deeper into Qeeka Home (Cayman), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Qeeka Home (Cayman) (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。基於上述原因,我們認為,乍一看,Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的法定利潤可以被認為是低質量的,因為它們可能會給投資者留下過於樂觀的公司印象。如果你想更深入地研究Qeeka Home(開曼羣島),你也應該看看它目前面臨的風險。我們的分析顯示了Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的3個警告信號(1個不容忽視!),我們強烈建議你在投資之前先看看這些信號。

Our examination of Qeeka Home (Cayman) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對Qeeka Home(開曼羣島)的審查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可以讓它的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論