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Jiangsu Huahong Technology's (SZSE:002645) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Jiangsu Huahong Technology's (SZSE:002645) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

江蘇華虹科技(SZSE:002645)的收益比看起來的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/03 19:32

Jiangsu Huahong Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002645) just reported some strong earnings, and the market rewarded them with a positive share price move. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

江蘇華虹科技有限公司。深交所(SZSE:002645)剛剛公佈了一些強勁的收益,市場對他們的回報是股價走勢積極。然而,我們認為,股東可能在數字中遺漏了一些令人擔憂的細節。

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Huahong Technology

查看我們對江蘇華虹科技的最新分析

SZSE:002645 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2022
深交所:002645盈利及收入歷史2022年5月3日

Examining Cashflow Against Jiangsu Huahong Technology's Earnings

對照江蘇華虹科技的盈利考察現金流

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Jiangsu Huahong Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥42m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥651.4m. We saw that FCF was CN¥307m a year ago though, so Jiangsu Huahong Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2022年3月的12個月內,江蘇華虹科技的權責發生比率為0.22。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這很難説是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為人民幣4200萬元,而前述利潤為人民幣6.514億元。我們看到一年前的FCF是3.07億元人民幣,所以江蘇華虹科技至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Jiangsu Huahong Technology's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇華虹科技盈利表現的看法

Jiangsu Huahong Technology didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Jiangsu Huahong Technology's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Huahong Technology (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

江蘇華虹科技去年沒有將大部分利潤轉化為自由現金流,一些投資者可能認為這相當不理想。正因為如此,我們認為可能是江蘇華虹科技的法定利潤好於其基礎盈利能力。但好消息是,該公司過去三年的每股收益增長令人印象深刻。歸根結底,如果你想正確地瞭解這家公司,除了以上幾個因素之外,考慮其他因素也是至關重要的。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。每家公司都有風險,我們為江蘇華虹科技發現了2個警示信號(其中1個不容忽視!)你應該知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Huahong Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只關注了一個因素,它揭示了江蘇華虹科技的利潤性質。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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