share_log

Luen Thai Holdings' (HKG:311) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Luen Thai Holdings' (HKG:311) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

聯泰控股(HKG:311)強勁的盈利具有良好的質量
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/03 19:22

When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Luen Thai Holdings Limited's (HKG:311) stock has recently. Our analysis found some more factors that we think are good for shareholders.

當公司公佈強勁的收益時,股票通常表現良好,就像聯泰控股有限公司(HKG:311)股票最近。我們的分析發現了更多我們認為對股東有利的因素。

See our latest analysis for Luen Thai Holdings

查看我們對聯泰控股的最新分析

SEHK:311 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2022
聯交所:311盈利及收入歷史2022年5月3日

A Closer Look At Luen Thai Holdings' Earnings

仔細看看聯泰控股的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Luen Thai Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.17. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$47m, well over the US$11.2m it reported in profit. Given that Luen Thai Holdings had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$47m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2021年12月的12個月內,聯泰控股的應計比率為-0.17。因此,其法定收益非常顯著地低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去12個月中,該公司報告的自由現金流為4700萬美元,遠高於其報告的利潤1120萬美元。鑑於聯泰控股上一季度的自由現金流為負,後續12個月4700萬美元的業績似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Luen Thai Holdings.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對聯泰控股的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Surprisingly, given Luen Thai Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by US$2.0m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Luen Thai Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於聯泰控股的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其賬面利潤實際上因不尋常項目而增加了200萬美元。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析了數千家上市公司的數據時,我們發現,在給定的一年中,不尋常的項目往往會帶來提振第二年又重複了一遍。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。如果聯泰控股沒有看到這種貢獻再次出現,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤在本年度將下降。

Our Take On Luen Thai Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對聯泰控股盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Luen Thai Holdings' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Luen Thai Holdings' profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Luen Thai Holdings (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.

總而言之,聯泰控股的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤受到不尋常項目的提振。考慮到所有上述情況,我們敢説聯泰控股的盈利業績是其真正盈利能力的一個相當好的指南,儘管有點保守。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的瞭解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,我們已經為聯泰控股確定了3個你應該熟悉的警告信號(1個是重要的)。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些因素,這些因素可能會削弱利潤數字作為企業指南的效用。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論