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Cosmopolitan International Holdings Limited's (HKG:120) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings Limited's (HKG:120) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

環球國際控股有限公司(HKG:120)的股票正在上漲,但金融類股看起來不明確:這種勢頭是否會持續?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/01 20:31

Most readers would already be aware that Cosmopolitan International Holdings' (HKG:120) stock increased significantly by 22% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cosmopolitan International Holdings' ROE today.

大多數讀者應該已經知道,Cosmopolitan International Holdings(HKG:120)的股票在過去三個月裏大幅上漲了22%。然而,我們決定關注該公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給出該公司財務健康狀況的明確跡象。特別是,我們今天將關注Cosmopolitan International Holdings的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率,即股本回報率,是評估一家公司從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有效程度的有用工具。換句話説,這是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for Cosmopolitan International Holdings

查看我們對Cosmopolitan International Holdings的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cosmopolitan International Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,Cosmopolitan International Holdings的淨資產收益率為:

2.1% = HK$34m ÷ HK$1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

2.1%=3,400萬港元×16億港元(以截至2021年12月的過去12個月計算)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.02 in profit.

“回報”指的是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。這意味着,每1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.02港元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

Cosmopolitan International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE

環球國際控股的盈利增長和2.1%的淨資產收益率

As you can see, Cosmopolitan International Holdings' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 18% seen by Cosmopolitan International Holdings was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

如你所見,Cosmopolitan International Holdings的淨資產收益率(ROE)看起來相當疲軟。即使與7.2%的行業平均淨資產收益率相比,該公司的淨資產收益率也相當慘淡。因此,説Cosmopolitan International Holdings的五年淨收入下降18%可能是因為它的淨資產收益率較低,這可能是正確的。然而,也可能有其他因素導致收益下降。例如-低收益留存或資本分配不佳。

However, when we compared Cosmopolitan International Holdings' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.2% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將Cosmopolitan International Holdings的增長與行業進行比較時發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在縮水,但同期該行業的收益增長了8.2%。這相當令人擔憂。

SEHK:120 Past Earnings Growth May 2nd 2022
聯交所:120過去盈利增長2022年5月2日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 120? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來説,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是將進入清澈的藍色水域,還是等待沼澤水域。市場考慮到120的未來前景了嗎?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案

Is Cosmopolitan International Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings是否在有效利用其利潤?

Cosmopolitan International Holdings doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Cosmopolitan International Holdings不支付任何股息,這意味着該公司保留了所有利潤,這讓我們不禁要問,如果它不能利用這些利潤來增長業務,它為什麼還要保留收益。因此,可能還有其他因素在起作用,可能會阻礙經濟增長。例如,該業務一直面臨一些不利因素。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Cosmopolitan International Holdings. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Cosmopolitan International Holdings.

總體而言,我們對Cosmopolitan International Holdings有複雜的感受。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。我們的風險儀錶板將具有我們為Cosmopolitan International Holdings確定的兩個風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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