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China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last five years, but the stock rises 4.3% this past week

China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last five years, but the stock rises 4.3% this past week

中國鐵路信號通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的盈利和股東回報在過去五年一直呈下降趨勢,但在過去的一週裏,該股上漲了4.3%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/29 20:10

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 56% over a half decade.

理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會喜憂參半。所以我們不會責怪長期中國鐵路信號通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了56%。

While the last five years has been tough for China Railway Signal & Communication shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對中國鐵路信號通信的股東來説是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出了希望的跡象。因此,讓我們看看較長期的基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動因素。

View our latest analysis for China Railway Signal & Communication

查看我們對中國鐵路信號通信的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.1% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 15% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 7.21.

在股價下跌的五年中,中國鐵路信號通信的每股收益(EPS)每年下降3.1%。讀者應該注意到,在此期間,該公司股價以每年15%的速度下跌,速度比每股收益更快。這暗示市場此前對該股過於樂觀。這種不那麼有利的情緒反映在其目前7.21的市盈率上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了EPS是如何隨着時間的推移進行跟蹤的(如果您點擊該圖像,您可以看到更多詳細信息)。

SEHK:3969 Earnings Per Share Growth April 29th 2022
聯交所:每股盈利增長3969 2022年4月29日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。但是,儘管CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是,公司能否在未來實現收益增長。通過查看這張中國鐵路信號通信公司收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地瞭解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Railway Signal & Communication's TSR for the last 5 years was -44%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,中國鐵路信號通信最近5年的TSR為-44%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that China Railway Signal & Communication returned a loss of 7.4% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 24%. What is more upsetting is the 8% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication you should be aware of.

儘管令人痛心的是,中國鐵路信號通信在過去12個月裏虧損了7.4%,但大盤實際上更糟糕,虧損24%。更令人沮喪的是,投資者在過去五年裏遭受了每年8%的損失。這種股價走勢並不特別鼓舞人心,但至少損失正在放緩。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。舉個例子:我們發現了一塊中國鐵路信號通信的警示標誌,你應該注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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