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Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd (SZSE:002478) sheds CN¥454m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past three years

Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd (SZSE:002478) sheds CN¥454m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past three years

江蘇長寶鋼管股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:002478)淨資產4.54億元,公司盈利和投資者回報近三年來一直呈下降趨勢
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/29 19:25

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002478) shareholders, since the share price is down 37% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 14%. Even worse, it's down 15% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 12% in the same time period.

許多投資者將成功的投資定義為長期超過市場平均水平。但在任何投資組合中,都可能會有一些股票沒有達到這一基準。不幸的是,從長遠來看,情況就是這樣江蘇長寶鋼管有限公司(SZSE:002478)由於過去三年股價下跌37%,遠低於約14%的市場回報率。更糟糕的是,它在大約一個月內下跌了15%,這一點都不好玩。然而,我們注意到,價格可能受到了大盤的影響,同期大盤下跌了12%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對江蘇長寶鋼鐵股份有限公司的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd

查看我們對江蘇長寶鋼管有限公司的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 31% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 14% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.

在過去的三年裏,江蘇長寶鋼管有限公司的每股收益以每年31%的複合速度下降。相比之下,14%的複合年度股價跌幅沒有每股收益下跌那麼嚴重。這表明,儘管過去每股收益有所下降,但市場仍對長期收益穩定保持了一定的樂觀情緒。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。

SZSE:002478 Earnings Per Share Growth April 29th 2022
上交所:2022年4月29日每股收益增長002478

We know that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

我們知道江蘇長寶鋼管有限公司最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?如果你感興趣,你可以看看這個免費顯示一致收入預測的報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd, it has a TSR of -33% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以江蘇長寶鋼管股份有限公司為例,它過去3年的總資產收益率為-33%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 2.4% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 18%. Of far more concern is the 5% p.a. loss served to shareholders over the last five years. While the losses are slowing we doubt many shareholders are happy with the stock. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.

雖然虧損從來都不是好事,但江蘇長寶鋼鐵股份有限公司的股東們可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在內,他們過去12個月2.4%的虧損並沒有市場上18%左右的虧損那麼糟糕。更令人擔憂的是5%的年利率。在過去的五年裏,虧損給股東帶來了損失。雖然虧損正在放緩,但我們懷疑有多少股東對該股感到滿意。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經為江蘇長寶鋼管有限公司確定了兩個警示標誌(1個是重要的),你應該知道。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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