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We Think That There Are More Issues For Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd (SZSE:002609) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd (SZSE:002609) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我們認為,深圳捷順科技實業有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:002609)面臨的問題不僅僅是盈利疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/29 18:26

The subdued market reaction suggests that Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002609) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

低迷的市場反應表明深圳市捷順科技實業有限公司(SZSE:002609)近期財報並不包含任何意外。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數據外,投資者還應該意識到數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd

查看我們對深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:002609 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2022
SZSE:002609收益和收入歷史2022年4月29日

Zooming In On Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's Earnings

放大深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。

For the year to March 2022, Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.23. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥325m despite its profit of CN¥121.6m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥79m a year ago though, so Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2022年3月的一年,深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的應計比率為0.23。因此,我們可以推斷,它的自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤。在過去的12個月裏,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為1.216億元,但仍流出3.25億元。我們看到一年前的FCF是7900萬加元,所以深圳捷順科技實業有限公司至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥13m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

該公司去年有一些不尋常的項目使利潤增加了1300萬加元,這一事實可能在某種程度上解釋了為什麼它的應計比率如此之低。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這些提振被描述為“不尋常的”,這正如你所預期的那樣。假設這些不同尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,我們因此預計明年的利潤會更弱(也就是説,在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

我們對深圳捷順科技實業有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd.

綜上所述,深圳捷順科技實業有限公司從異常項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但賬面利潤與自由現金流無法匹配。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司做更多的分析,瞭解其中的風險是至關重要的。為了幫助解決這一問題,我們發現了3個警告信號(1個可能很嚴重!)在購買深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的任何股份之前,你應該意識到這一點。

Our examination of Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對深圳捷順科技實業有限公司的調查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓該公司的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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