share_log

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's (SHSE:605128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's (SHSE:605128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

上海燕普金屬製品有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:605128)盈利疲軟可能只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/28 19:37

Shanghai YanPu Metal Products Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:605128) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

上海燕浦金屬製品有限公司(上海證券交易所:605128)最近疲弱的收益報告並沒有導致股市大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數據外,投資者還應該意識到數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd

查看我們對上海燕普金屬製品有限公司的最新分析

SHSE:605128 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海證交所:605128收益和收入歷史2022年4月28日

Zooming In On Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's Earnings

放大上海燕普金屬製品有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過了它的FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to December 2021. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥70.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥81m in the last year. We also note that Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥81m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

上海燕普金屬製品有限公司截至2021年12月的年度應計比率為0.23。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其公佈的利潤。儘管該公司報告利潤為7050萬加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了8100萬加元。我們還注意到,上海燕普金屬製品有限公司去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否因其8100萬元的資金外流而感到困擾。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海燕普金屬製品有限公司的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥12m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

該公司去年有一些不尋常的項目使利潤增加了1200萬加元,這一事實可能在某種程度上解釋了為什麼它的應計比率如此之低。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的項目做出了很大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析了數千家上市公司的數據時,我們發現,在給定的一年中,不尋常的項目往往會帶來提振第二年又重複了一遍。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。如果上海燕浦金屬製品有限公司沒有看到這種貢獻再次出現,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計該公司今年的利潤將會下降。

Our Take On Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's Profit Performance

我們對上海燕普金屬製品有限公司盈利表現的看法

Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Shanghai YanPu Metal ProductsLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

上海燕浦金屬製品有限公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到了不尋常項目的提振。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼上海燕普金屬製品有限公司的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。如果你想更多地瞭解上海燕普金屬製品有限公司作為一個企業,瞭解它所面臨的任何風險是很重要的。例如,上海燕浦金屬製品有限公司有兩個警告標誌(還有一個有點令人擔憂),我們認為你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論