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Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:688091) Robust Profit May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:688091) Robust Profit May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

上海益眾藥業(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688091)強勁的利潤可能誇大了其真實的盈利潛力
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:56

Shareholders were pleased with the recent earnings report from Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688091). Investors should be cautious however, as there some causes of concern deeper in the numbers.

股東們對公司最近發佈的收益報告感到滿意上海益眾藥業有限公司。(上交所:688091)。然而,投資者應該謹慎,因為數字背後有一些令人擔憂的原因。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical

查看我們對上海益眾藥業的最新分析

SHSE:688091 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海證交所:688091收益和收入歷史2022年4月28日

Zooming In On Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's Earnings

放大上海益眾藥業的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。

For the year to March 2022, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥25m despite its profit of CN¥32.3m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥25m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

截至2022年3月的一年,上海益眾藥業的應計比率為0.26。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其公佈的利潤。在過去的12個月裏,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為3230萬元,但仍流出2500萬元。在去年自由現金流為負的背景下,我們可以想象,一些股東可能會懷疑,該公司今年2500萬加元的現金消耗是否意味着高風險。話雖如此,最近的税收優惠和一些不尋常的項目似乎影響了它的利潤(這是它的應計比率)。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海益眾藥業的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥10m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

該公司去年有一些不尋常的項目使利潤增加了1000萬加元,這一事實可能在某種程度上解釋了為什麼它的應計比率如此之低。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。我們可以看到,在截至2022年3月的一年中,上海一重藥業的積極異常項目與其利潤相比相當顯著。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的項目使其法定利潤比其他情況下要強勁得多。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不同尋常的税務情況

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥6.2m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

從應計比率來看,我們注意到上海益眾藥業受益於一項税收優惠,為利潤貢獻了620萬元人民幣。當一家公司是由税務人員支付的,而不是由税務人員支付的,這總是有一點值得注意的。我們確信該公司對其税收優惠感到滿意。考慮到該公司去年虧損,這一收益似乎可能證明,該公司現在希望從過去的税收損失中找到價值。然而,細節中的魔鬼是,這些福利只在預訂的那一年影響,而且往往是一次性的。如果税收優惠不再重複,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是這樣。雖然我們認為該公司獲得了税收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着,法定利潤很有可能會比收入經一次性因素調整後的水平高出很多。

Our Take On Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

我們對上海益眾藥業盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's tax benefit and unusual items boosted its statutory profit leading to poor cash conversion, as reflected by its accrual ratio. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical you should be mindful of and 1 of them is significant.

綜上所述,上海一重藥業的税收優惠和特殊項目增加了其法定利潤,導致現金轉換不佳,這從其應計比率中得到反映。基於上述所有原因,我們認為,乍看之下,上海一重藥業的法定利潤可以被認為是低質量的,因為它們很可能給投資者帶來對公司過於積極的印象。如果你想更多地瞭解上海一重藥業的業務,瞭解它面臨的任何風險是很重要的。舉個例子:我們發現了上海一重藥業的兩個警示標誌,你應該注意其中一個是重要的。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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