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We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603181) Profit

We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603181) Profit

我們認為股東應該意識到浙江黃馬科技有限公司(上交所:603181)利潤之外的一些因素
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:41

We didn't see Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603181) stock surge when it reported robust earnings recently. We decided to have a deeper look, and we believe that investors might be worried about several concerning factors that we found.

我們沒有看到浙江黃馬科技有限公司(上交所:603181)最近該公司公佈強勁收益後,股價飆升。我們決定進行更深入的研究,我們相信投資者可能會對我們發現的幾個令人擔憂的因素感到擔憂。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd

查看我們對浙江黃馬科技有限公司的最新分析

SHSE:603181 Earnings and Revenue History April 28th 2022
上海證交所:603181收益和收入歷史2022年4月28日

A Closer Look At Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's Earnings

細看浙江黃馬科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率為正,但值得注意的是,在應計比率相當高的地方。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.37 for the year to December 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥448.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥168m in the last year. We also note that Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥168m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

浙江黃馬科技有限公司截至2021年12月的年度應計比率為0.37。一般來説,這對未來的盈利能力來説是個不好的預兆。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管該公司報告利潤為4.484億加元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了1.68億加元。我們還注意到,浙江黃馬科技有限公司去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否對其流出的1.68億元人民幣感到困擾。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥178m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考慮到應計比率,浙江黃馬科技有限公司的利潤在過去12個月裏被價值1.78億元人民幣的不尋常項目提振也就不足為奇了。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這些提振被描述為“不尋常的”,這正如你所預期的那樣。浙江黃馬科技有限公司在截至2021年12月的利潤中,異常項目做出了相當大的貢獻。在其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成為衡量潛在盈利能力的糟糕指標。

Our Take On Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對浙江黃馬科技有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

綜上所述,浙江黃馬科技有限公司從異常項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但賬面利潤與自由現金流不匹配。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼浙江黃馬科技有限公司的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司做更多的分析,瞭解其中的風險是至關重要的。例如,我們為浙江黃馬科技有限公司確定了3個警示標誌(1個是有點令人擔憂的),你應該熟悉。

Our examination of Zhejiang Huangma TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對浙江黃馬科技有限公司的調查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓它的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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