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3.8% earnings growth over 5 years has not materialized into gains for COSCO SHIPPING Technology (SZSE:002401) shareholders over that period

3.8% earnings growth over 5 years has not materialized into gains for COSCO SHIPPING Technology (SZSE:002401) shareholders over that period

中遠航運科技(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:002401)的股東在過去5年的收益增長中沒有實現3.8%的增長
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 20:41

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term COSCO SHIPPING Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002401) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 40% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 22%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 21% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 22% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但即使是最好的選股者也只有在一些選擇。所以我們不會責怪長期中遠海運科技有限公司。(SZSE:002401)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在過去五年中下跌了40%。我們還注意到,該股在過去一年表現不佳,股價下跌了22%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天裏下跌了21%。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到了大盤22%跌幅的影響。

With the stock having lost 20% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了20%,我們有必要看看公司的業績,看看是否有什麼危險信號。

See our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Technology

查看我們對中遠航運技術的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

While the share price declined over five years, COSCO SHIPPING Technology actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

雖然股價在五年內下跌,但中遠航運科技實際上成功地增加平均每年以21%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由於每股收益增長和股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,因此有必要看看其他指標,試圖瞭解股價走勢。

We don't think that the 1.7% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 15% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

我們不認為1.7%是影響股價的大因素,因為隨着股息的增加,1.7%的影響相當小。在這段時間裏,收入實際上增長了15%。因此,人們似乎必須更仔細地觀察基本面,才能理解股價低迷的原因。畢竟,可能會有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細信息)。

SZSE:002401 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2022
深圳證交所:002401收益和收入增長2022年4月28日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強健至關重要。也許很值得一看我們的免費報告其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

COSCO SHIPPING Technology shareholders are down 22% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -20%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 7% per year. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with COSCO SHIPPING Technology .

中遠航運科技的股東在過去12個月裏下跌了22%(甚至包括股息),距離-20%的市場回報率不遠。因此,去年實際上比過去五年還要糟糕,過去五年股東每年損失7%。該公司可能需要基本面業績的大幅改善才能扭轉這一趨勢。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。為此,你應該注意到我們在中遠航運技術公司發現的兩個警告信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,你會的想懷念這一切嗎?免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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