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Sun.King Technology Group's (HKG:580) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Sun.King Technology Group's (HKG:580) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Sun.King科技集團(HKG:580)收益低迷可能只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/27 19:45

The subdued market reaction suggests that Sun.King Technology Group Limited's (HKG:580) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

低迷的市場反應表明Sun.King科技集團有限公司(HKG:580)最近的收益不包含任何意外。我們認為,投資者擔心的是盈利背後的一些弱點。

Check out our latest analysis for Sun.King Technology Group

查看我們對Sun.King科技集團的最新分析

SEHK:580 Earnings and Revenue History April 27th 2022
聯交所:580盈利及收入歷史2022年4月27日

A Closer Look At Sun.King Technology Group's Earnings

仔細看看Sun.King科技集團的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融書呆子們已經知道的那樣,現金流應計比率是評估一家公司的自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。

Sun.King Technology Group has an accrual ratio of -0.11 for the year to December 2021. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥167m, well over the CN¥15.5m it reported in profit. Given that Sun.King Technology Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥167m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Sun.King科技集團截至2021年12月的年度應計比率為-0.11。這表明其自由現金流遠遠高於其法定利潤。事實上,在過去的12個月裏,該公司報告的自由現金流為1.67億加元,遠高於其報告的利潤1550萬加元。鑑於Sun.King科技集團上一季度的自由現金流為負,後續12個月的1.67億元人民幣的業績似乎是朝着正確的方向邁出了一步。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sun.King Technology Group.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Sun.King科技集團的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given Sun.King Technology Group's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥5.3m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

令人驚訝的是,考慮到Sun.King科技集團的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其賬面利潤實際上得到了530萬元人民幣異常項目的提振。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的項目做出了很大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。假設這些不同尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,我們因此預計明年的利潤會更弱(也就是説,在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Sun.King Technology Group's Profit Performance

我們對Sun.King科技集團盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Sun.King Technology Group's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Sun.King Technology Group's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. If you want to do dive deeper into Sun.King Technology Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Sun.King Technology Group has 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

總而言之,Sun.King Technology Group的應計比率表明,其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤受到不尋常項目的提振。基於這些因素,我們認為Sun.King科技集團的法定利潤不太可能讓其看起來比實際情況弱得多。如果你真的想更深入地研究Sun.King科技集團,你還應該調查它目前面臨的風險。例如,我們發現Sun.King科技集團有3個警示標誌(1個不容忽視!)在進一步分析之前,這一點值得你注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些因素,這些因素可能會削弱利潤數字作為企業指南的效用。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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