Berlin, April 25 (Reuters) - German Consumer Sentiment Is Set to Rise in May on the Back of Households' Brighter Income Expectations, Continuing a Path of Recovery That Has Been Slow-Going Due to Uncertainty About the Country's Economic Development, a Survey Showed on Thursday.
柏林，4月25日（路透社）— 週四的一項調查顯示，由於家庭收入預期增強，德國消費者信心指數將在5月份上升，延續了由於該國經濟發展不確定性而一直緩慢的復甦之路。
The Consumer Sentiment Index Published Jointly by Gfk and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions (Nim) Rose to -24.2 Heading Into May From a Slightly Revised -27.3 in April.
Gfk和紐倫堡市場決策研究所（Nim）聯合發佈的消費者信心指數從4月份略有修正的-27.3升至5月份的-24.2。
That Reading, the Third Increase in a Row, Beat the Expectations of Analysts Polled by Reuters of -26.0 and Marks a Two-Year High, Though Sentiment Still Remains Extremely Low.
該數據是連續第三次上漲，超過了路透社調查的分析師的預期-26.0，創下了兩年來的最高水平，儘管市場情緒仍然極低。
Income Expectations Were a Bright Spot, Climbing 12.2 Points to 10.7, Boosted by Falling Inflation and Rising Wages.
收入預期是一個亮點，在通貨膨脹率下降和工資上漲的推動下，上漲12.2點至10.7點。
"Our Analyses Indicate That Income Expectations Are Primarily Based on Real Income Development. and the Signals Here Are Definitely Positive," Said Nim Consumer Analyst Rolf Buerkl.
Nim消費者分析師羅爾夫·布爾克爾表示：“我們的分析表明，收入預期主要基於實際收入的發展。這裏的信號絕對是積極的。”
The Willingness to Buy Benefited Only Moderately From the Jump in Income Expectations, Rising 2.7 Points to -12.6, as Households Put Their Money Aside Due to Pronounced Uncertainty About the Economic Development of Europe's Biggest Economy.
由於歐洲最大經濟體的經濟發展存在明顯的不確定性，家庭將資金擱置一邊，收入預期的上升僅對購買意願產生了適度的好處，上升了2.7個百分點至-12.6點。
May 2024 |
Apr 2024 |
May 2023 |
|
Consumer Climate |
-24.2 |
-27.3 |
-25.8 |
Consumer Climate Components |
Apr 2024 |
Mar 2024 |
Apr 2023 |
- Willingness to Buy |
-12.6 |
-15.3 |
-13.1 |
- Income Expectations |
10.7 |
-1.5 |
-10.7 |
- Business Cycle Expectations |
0.7 |
-3.1 |
14.3 |
2024 年 5 月 |
2024 年 4 月 |
2023 年 5 月 |
|
消費者環境 |
-24.2 |
-27.3 |
-25.8 |
消費者環境組件 |
2024 年 4 月 |
2024 年 3 月 |
2023 年 4 月 |
-購買意願 |
-12.6 |
-15.3 |
-13.1 |
-收入預期 |
10.7 |
-1.5 |
-10.7 |
-商業週期預期 |
0.7 |
-3.1 |
14.3 |
Note - the Survey Period Was From April 4-15, 2024.
注意-調查期爲2024年4月4日至15日。
The Consumer Climate Indicator Forecasts the Progress of Real Private Consumption in the Following Month.
消費者景氣指標預測了下個月實際私人消費的進展。
An Indicator Reading Above Zero Signals Year-on-Year Growth in Private Consumption. a Value Below Zero Indicates a Drop Compared With the Same Period a Year Earlier.
指標讀數高於零表示私人消費同比增長。低於零的值表示與去年同期相比有所下降。
According to Gfk, a One-Point Change in the Indicator Corresponds to a Year-on-Year Change of 0.1% in Private Consumption.
根據Gfk的數據，該指標的一個百分點變化相當於私人消費的同比變化0.1％。
The "Willingness to Buy" Indicator Represents the Balance Between Positive and Negative Responses to the Question: "Do You Think Now Is a Good Time to Buy Major Items?"
“購買意願” 指標代表了對以下問題的正面和負面回應之間的平衡：“你認爲現在是購買主要物品的好時機嗎？”
The Income Expectations Sub-Index Reflects Expectations About the Development of Household Finances in the Coming 12 Months.
收入預期分項指數反映了對未來12個月家庭財務發展的預期。
The Additional Business Cycle Expectations Index Reflects Respondents' Assessment of the General Economic Situation Over the Next 12 Months.
附加商業週期預期指數反映了受訪者對未來12個月總體經濟形勢的評估。
(Reporting by Miranda Murray, Editing by Rachel More)
（米蘭達·默裏報道，雷切爾·莫爾編輯）
((Mailto: Miranda.murray@Thomsonreuters.com))
((郵寄至: Miranda.murray@Thomsonreuters.com))