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It’s Too Soon for Hippo Holdings to Disrupt Home Insurance

It’s Too Soon for Hippo Holdings to Disrupt Home Insurance

河馬控股打亂Home Insurance還為時過早
InvestorPlace ·  2021/10/05 16:15

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A very popular term in business is disruption, or causing a radical change through innovation. Hippo Holdings (NYSE:HIPO) is a digital homeowners insurance provider that went public in August. Potential HIPO stock investors wonder if this insurance provider will disrupt the insurance market.

商業中一個非常流行的術語是顛覆,也就是通過創新導致根本性的改變。河馬控股(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:HIPO)是一家數字房主保險提供商,於8月份上市。潛在的HIPO股票投資者想知道,這家保險提供商是否會擾亂保險市場。

Source: TDKvisuals / Shutterstock.com
來源:TDKVisuals/Shutterstock.com

It seems to me that HIPO stock lacks key catalysts to move it. In fact, the stock suffered a selloff a few days after it went public.

在我看來,HIPO股票缺乏推動其走勢的關鍵催化劑。事實上,該股在上市幾天後就遭遇了拋售。

HIPO started trading on Aug. 3 2021 at $10.6500 and on Aug. 23, shares reached a low price of $3.78. The stock recovered to $4.99 as of Sept. 23 and recently was trading around $4.40 per share.

2021年8月3日,首次公開募股以10.6500美元的價格開始交易,8月23日,股價跌至3.78美元的低點。截至9月1日,該股回升至4.99美元。23,最近的交易價格約為每股4.40美元。

This volatility shows two things. SPACs can be volatile and not suitable for all investors. Also, some people recognized something about HIPO that most other investors ignored: information.

這種波動説明了兩件事。SPAC可能不穩定,並不適合所有投資者。此外,一些人認識到了HIPO的一些其他投資者都忽視的東西:信息。

HIPO Stock Has a Rough Start

HIPO股票開局不順

The company was in the news Aug. 8 when it was reported that "Hippo loses $192 million in funding right before SPAC merger, keeps $5 billion valuation."

8月8日,有報道稱,“就在SPAC合併之前,河馬損失了1.92億美元的資金,但仍保持着50億美元的估值。”

The report says many "investors in the SPAC company into which Israeli-founded insurtech company Hippo is scheduled to merge with have asked for their money back."

報告説,許多“以色列成立的保險科技公司河馬(Hippo)計劃與之合併的SPAC公司的投資者要求退還他們的資金。”

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About 83% of the capital raised by SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) Reinvent Technology Partners was "withdrawn" and $192 million was returned to investors, according to the report.

報告稱,SPAC(特殊目的收購公司)Reinvent Technology Partners募集的資金中,約有83%被“撤回”,1.92億美元返還給投資者。

The question to answer, of course, is the reason behind investors withdrawing this capital. What are the possible explanations for Hippo Holdings receiving significantly less money than planned?

當然,要回答的問題是投資者撤資背後的原因。河馬控股(Hippo Holdings)收到的資金明顯低於計劃,可能的原因是什麼?

There could have been a disagreement in the business policy implementation. Or, perhaps investors found more attractive opportunities. There's also the company's  second-quarter earnings, which were about to be released at the time.

業務政策實施中可能存在分歧。或者,也許投資者發現了更有吸引力的機會。此外,該公司第二季度的收益也即將公佈。

However, I am not surprised about the financial performance, and that could be a reason why these investors preferred to withdraw their capital.

然而,我對財務表現並不感到意外,這可能是這些投資者更願意撤資的一個原因。

In any case, this event shows a lack of confidence in the business prospects of Hippo Holdings. This is not the ideal beginning for a company just going public. It raises red flags.

無論如何,此次活動顯示出對河馬控股的業務前景缺乏信心。對於一家剛剛上市的公司來説,這不是一個理想的開端。這會引起危險信號。

Good and the Bad

好與壞

The key highlights from second-quarter showed both positive and negative results.

第二季度的主要亮點既有積極的結果,也有消極的結果。

On the positive side:

積極的一面是:

  • "Strong" growth
  • 101% growth in total generated premiums
  • Raised annual guidance
  • Year 1 customer retention of 88%
  • “強勁”增長
  • 產生的總保費增長101%
  • 提高年度指導
  • 第一年客户保留率為88%

On the negative side:

消極的一面是:

  • Operating expenses "increased 54% from the prior year to $47.0 million"
  • "Hippo Net Loss was $84.5 million, or $(5.98) per share compared to a Net Loss of $24.8 million, or $(2.01) per share in Q2 2020."
  • 營業費用“比上一年增加了54%,達到4700萬美元”
  • 河馬淨虧損8450萬美元,合每股5.98美元,而2020年第二季度淨虧損2480萬美元,合每股2.01美元。

It is not surprising that Hippo Holdings has increasing net losses. The company is trying to find an inflection point. It is investing in innovation to succeed with long-term growth. But does this mean it can disrupt the insurtech industry?

河馬控股淨虧損增加並不令人意外。該公司正在努力尋找一個拐點。它正在投資於創新,以取得成功並實現長期增長。但這是否意味着它可以顛覆保險科技行業?

Industry Is Growing at a Rapid Pace

工業正在快速發展

Hippo Holdings is operating in the global insurtech market. A report by Allied Market Research says, "The global Insurtech market size was valued at $9,415.28 million in 2020, and is projected to reach $158,994.52 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 32.7% from 2021 to 2030."

河馬控股在全球保險科技市場運營。聯合市場研究公司(Allied Market Research)的一份報告稱,“2020年全球保險技術市場規模為94.1528億美元,預計到2030年將達到1589.9452億美元,2021年至2030年的複合年增長率為32.7%。”

That suggests there is a lot of growth for the company to tap into. But for this to happen, the economic moats Hippo Holdings claims it have to deliver results.

這表明該公司還有很大的增長空間。但要做到這一點,經濟護城河河馬控股公司(Hippo Holdings)聲稱,它必須交付成果。

In it's letter to shareholders, Hippo Holdings mentions on page 12 that the company's major economic moats include "technology and insurance approach," "vertically integrated insurance capabilities" and a "diversified distribution strategy."

在致股東的信中,河馬控股在第12頁提到,公司的主要經濟護城河包括“技術和保險方式”、“垂直整合的保險能力”和“多元化分銷戰略”。

The letter also cites the company's dedication to customers. If I had to choose only one to criticize, I would pick that. Why? It should be a core value for any business. This is not an economic moat, but rather a fundamental business principle.

信中還提到了該公司對客户的奉獻精神。如果我只能選擇一個來批評,我會選擇那個。為什麼?它應該是任何企業的核心價值。這不是一條經濟護城河,而是一條基本的商業原則。

Need More Information on HIPO Stock

需要更多有關HIPO股票的信息

How does this sum up for HIPO stock? Selling homeowners insurance online is operating in a very competitive market. Innovation should be very strong to make a difference. I believe that operating expenses such as marketing and advertising may increase to gain more customers, but this would hurt chances of profitability.

這對HIPO股票來説是怎樣的總結?在網上銷售房主保險是在一個競爭非常激烈的市場上進行的。創新應該非常強大,才能有所作為。我認為,為了贏得更多客户,營銷和廣告等運營費用可能會增加,但這會損害盈利的機會。

As we do not have yet a lot of financial data to analyze, it is prudent to wait and evaluate the financial performance of HIPO stock in the next quarters. If you invest too early in an IPO or a SPAC, it is like getting your driving license and trying to push to the limits of a high-performance car. It is too risky, and many things can go wrong.

由於目前還沒有大量的財務數據可供分析,謹慎的做法是等待和評估HIPO股票在未來幾個季度的財務表現。如果你過早地投資於IPO或SPAC,就像拿到駕照並試圖將高性能汽車推向極限一樣。這太冒險了,而且很多事情都可能出錯。

Playing it safe is never a bad idea, especially for investing in stocks.

穩妥行事從來都不是個壞主意,尤其是對投資股票而言。

I would like to see the economic moats of Hippo Holdings bring measurable financial results soon. Until then, it is more prudent to be on the sidelines.

我希望河馬控股(Hippo Holdings)的經濟護城河很快就能帶來可衡量的財務業績。在此之前,更謹慎的做法是持觀望態度。

On the date of publication, Stavros Georgiadis, CFA  did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在文章發表之日,CFA沒有(直接或間接)持有本文提到的證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

Stavros Georgiadis is a CFA charter holder, an Equity Research Analyst, and an Economist. He focuses on U.S. stocks and has his own stock market blog at thestockmarketontheinternet.com/. He has written in the past various articles for other publications and can be reached on Twitter and on LinkedIn

斯塔夫羅斯·喬治亞迪斯(Stavros Georgiadis)是CFA執照持有人、股票研究分析師和經濟學家。他專注於美國股票,並有自己的股市博客,網址為Thestock market ontheinteret.com/。他過去曾為其他出版物撰寫過各種文章,可以在Twitter和其他網站上聯繫到LinkedIn.

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閲讀更多內容: 細價股-如何在不上當的情況下獲利

The post It's Too Soon for Hippo Holdings to Disrupt Home Insurance appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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