Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (HKG:345) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 43% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Vitasoy International Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
SEHK:345 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024
What Does Vitasoy International Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
Vitasoy International Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vitasoy International Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Vitasoy International Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Vitasoy International Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.9%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.6% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Vitasoy International Holdings' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Vitasoy International Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Vitasoy International Holdings, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Vitasoy International Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vitasoy International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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