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Improved Revenues Required Before Netjoy Holdings Limited (HKG:2131) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  May 12 20:57

Netjoy Holdings Limited (HKG:2131) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think Netjoy Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Media industry have P/S ratios above 0.7x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2131 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024

What Does Netjoy Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Netjoy Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Netjoy Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Netjoy Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Netjoy Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Netjoy Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.1%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 17% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Netjoy Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Netjoy Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Netjoy Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Netjoy Holdings confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Netjoy Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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