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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Doumob (HKG:1917) With Shares Advancing 32%

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 18:32

The Doumob (HKG:1917) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Interactive Media and Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Doumob as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1917 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024

What Does Doumob's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Doumob as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Doumob's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Doumob's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Doumob's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 47% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 17% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Doumob's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Doumob shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Doumob revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Doumob (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Doumob's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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