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Wolverine World Wide, Inc.'s (NYSE:WWW) 30% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 08:22

Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (NYSE:WWW) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Wolverine World Wide's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Luxury industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:WWW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024

How Wolverine World Wide Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Wolverine World Wide's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Wolverine World Wide's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wolverine World Wide?

Wolverine World Wide's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.4% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 14% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.4% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Wolverine World Wide's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Wolverine World Wide's P/S?

Wolverine World Wide's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our check of Wolverine World Wide's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wolverine World Wide (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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