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Lushang Life Services' (HKG:2376) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Lushang Life Services' (HKG:2376) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

魯商人壽服務(HKG: 2376)收入低迷可能僅僅是問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 18:28

Lushang Life Services Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2376) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

魯商生活服務有限公司's(HKG: 2376)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們認爲,投資者擔心收益背後的一些弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2376 Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024
SEHK: 2376 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 8 日

A Closer Look At Lushang Life Services' Earnings

仔細看看魯商人壽服務的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Lushang Life Services has an accrual ratio of 0.55 for the year to December 2023. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥39.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥12m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥12m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2023年12月的一年中,魯商人壽服務的應計比率爲0.55。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲3,940萬元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了1200萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年1200萬元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lushang Life Services.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對魯商人壽服務的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Lushang Life Services' Profit Performance

我們對魯商人壽服務盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Lushang Life Services' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Lushang Life Services' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Lushang Life Services has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲魯商人壽服務的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲魯商人壽服務的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的公司印象。另一個壞消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,Lushang Life Services有3個警告標誌(還有一個有點不愉快),我們認爲你應該知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Lushang Life Services' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解魯商人壽服務利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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