AAR Corp.'s (NYSE:AIR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, AAR has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AAR.
Is There Enough Growth For AAR?
AAR's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 33%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 263% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 96% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 12%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why AAR is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that AAR maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for AAR that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AAR, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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