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There May Be Some Bright Spots In Chengdu Leejun Industrial's (SZSE:002651) Earnings

There May Be Some Bright Spots In Chengdu Leejun Industrial's (SZSE:002651) Earnings

成都利君實業(深圳證券交易所:002651)的收益可能有一些亮點
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:31

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002651) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

成都利君實業有限公司似乎並不關心軟收益。”s(深圳證券交易所:002651)股東上週的走勢。我們認爲,較疲軟的標題數字可能會被一些積極的潛在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002651 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE: 002651 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 5 日

A Closer Look At Chengdu Leejun Industrial's Earnings

仔細看看成都利君實業的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超過了其利潤所暗示的水平。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減少。

For the year to March 2024, Chengdu Leejun Industrial had an accrual ratio of -0.13. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥277m, well over the CN¥99.2m it reported in profit. Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年3月的一年中,成都利君實業的應計率爲-0.13。這意味着它具有良好的現金轉化率,也意味着其去年的自由現金流穩步超過了利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲2.77億元人民幣,遠遠超過其報告的利潤992萬元人民幣。毫無疑問,成都利君實業的股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chengdu Leejun Industrial.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對成都利君實業的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Chengdu Leejun Industrial's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥103m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to March 2024, Chengdu Leejun Industrial had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

在過去的十二個月中,成都利君實業的利潤因價值1.03億元人民幣的不尋常物品而減少,這幫助其產生了較高的現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。在這些不尋常的項目包括非現金費用的情況下,我們預計會看到強勁的應計比率,而這正是本案中發生的情況。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,成都利君實業有一筆不尋常的巨額物品支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯低於原來的水平。

Our Take On Chengdu Leejun Industrial's Profit Performance

我們對成都利君實業盈利表現的看法

Considering both Chengdu Leejun Industrial's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon Chengdu Leejun Industrial's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Chengdu Leejun Industrial has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

考慮到成都利君實業的應計比率及其不尋常的項目,我們認爲其法定收益不太可能誇大公司的基礎盈利能力。在考慮了所有這些之後,我們認爲成都利君實業的法定利潤可能低估了其盈利潛力!因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。在進行分析時,我們發現成都利君實業有3個警告信號,忽視這些信號是不明智的。

After our examination into the nature of Chengdu Leejun Industrial's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在我們研究了成都利君實業的利潤性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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