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We Think Youcare Pharmaceutical Group (SHSE:688658) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Youcare Pharmaceutical Group (SHSE:688658) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲 Youcare Pharmaceutical Group(上海證券交易所代碼:688658)正在爲債務承擔一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 19:20

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688658) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,Youcare製藥集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688658)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Youcare Pharmaceutical Group's Debt?

Youcare製藥集團的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Youcare Pharmaceutical Group had CN¥698.6m of debt, up from CN¥228.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.73b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.03b net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,優健藥業集團的債務爲6.986億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.288億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有17.3億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有10.3億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688658 Debt to Equity History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 688658 2024 年 5 月 1 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Youcare Pharmaceutical Group's Liabilities

看看Youcare製藥集團的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of CN¥2.04b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥428.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.73b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.06b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥324.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的負債爲20.4億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲4.289億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有17.3億元人民幣的現金以及價值10.6億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出3.244億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 28% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Youcare Pharmaceutical Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止去年再次削減28%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔對Youcare Pharmaceutical Group來說可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Youcare Pharmaceutical Group能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Youcare Pharmaceutical Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Youcare Pharmaceutical Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,Youcare製藥集團燒燬了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group has net cash of CN¥1.03b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So while Youcare Pharmaceutical Group does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Youcare Pharmaceutical Group (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的淨現金爲10.3億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。因此,儘管Youcare Pharmaceutical Group的資產負債表不佳,但肯定還不錯。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該了解我們在Youcare Pharmaceutical Group中發現的3個警告信號(包括2個不太適合我們的信號)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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